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APFX Research

AP Research

Institutional FX and rates research

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues61Founded2 years agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

Won Way Traffic

Assessing KRW and laying down a conviction call.

The South Korean Won (KRW) has experienced sharp weakness year-to-date, recently hitting the lowest level against the greenback since 2009. With the Kospi breaking records almost daily, than...

4 days ago
5
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Three Curves, One Message

Relief is being priced, but not easing.

The key message from US, EU, and UK curves is not dovishness. Markets have taken some heat out of near-term policy pricing over the past week, but they are still refusing to underwrite a clean return...

11 days ago
11
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The Insurance Hike Arrives

A June ECB hike now looks done, but this isn't the start of a hiking cycle.

A month ago, we noted in ‘The ECB’s Insurance Hike’ that “an insurance hike, likely in June or July, helps the ECB to retain credibility with the market without co...

17 days ago
10
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Knocking on 160’s Door Again

Taking advantage of the Yen's swift rebound.

USD/JPY continues to climb and retrace the losses from the FX intervention from the end of April. The 160.00 level is now firmly back in sight, setting us up for a compelling next couple of week...

23 days ago
11
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The Real Votes Early

BRL’s new Bolsonaro premium.

A sharp move lower in BRL/JPY yesterday can be put down to concerns around presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro being linked to Daniel Vorcaro, the jailed former Banco Master CEO at the centre of a major fraud...

a month ago
10
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    AP Research is an independent cross-asset platform focused on global macro and thematic investing, translating market developments into actionable positioning and asset allocation ideas, expressed both in research and in our own capital.

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