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Institutional FX and rates research

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Artwork for APFX Research

Latest Issues

Staying Long Gold

Why a run to $5,000 by year-end is becoming increasingly likely.

Back in mid June, we nailed our colours to the mast and re-entered long XAU/USD via a six-month seagull. The title of the trade note, The Asymmetric Gold Trade , helped to ex...

12 days ago
9
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Bessent’s Bond Market Band-Aid

Buybacks won’t fix the problem.

Treasury Sec Bessent has been making headlines over the past 24 hours with his decision to double liquidity-support buyback operations for 10- to 30-year Treasuries. Even though this only kicks in in Septemb...

19 days ago
9
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Trading Burnham’s Britain

Has UK fiscal credibility got a new name?

We were tapped on the shoulder a couple of times over the past week about UK asset spread swaps before the Bloomberg report came out today.

24 days ago
7
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The Yen-evitable Reversal

Trade structures for what happens next for JPY.

After printing lows of 155.23 on Monday, the latest round of US/Japan intervention in the currency markets has finished. Although well executed in taking advantage of the AI spook in equity m...

a month ago
8
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Exploiting the Fed's Lack of Credibility

Warsh didn't walk the walk.

Much has already been made of the FOMC meeting last night, both in the fact that we were told what we already expected (no hike in July, but one is looming) and in several points we weren’t expecting (Warsh’s co...

a month ago
8
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  • AP Research

    AP Research is an independent cross-asset platform focused on global macro and thematic investing, translating market developments into actionable positioning and asset allocation ideas, expressed both in research and in our own capital.

  • Global Macro Method

    Former Sell Side, Buy Side and now Family Office and Personal Account Trader. Top down, Bottom up approach with quanta-mental overlay

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