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Binomial Basketball

Binomial Basketball

Predicting NBA scores and statistics with Bayesian models

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Predicting Basketball Winners After Watching the First Half

How likely is a comeback by a stronger team? What about a weaker team? Can a weaker team hold their halftime lead? These are all questions we’re trying to address in this post’s model.

a year ago
5
0

Predicting NBA Scores Without Any Data

In our previous post, we tackled our priors with a straightforward method. We won’t rehash everything here, but a key idea was that it starts to get complicated when dealing with more “abstract” priors, which we’ll overcome in this post.

a year ago
5
0

Predicting NBA Scores Part 3

Thanks for reading Binomial Basketball! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

a year ago
7
4

Predicting NBA Scores Part 2

In our last post, we gave a brief overview of our score-line prediction model. There is a glaring list of improvements to make. In this post (and the following post), we’ll focus on prior modeling. Specifically, we’ll look at the prior on h...

a year ago
7
7

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  • Binomial Basketball

    Predicting NBA scores and statistics with Bayesian models

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