Binomial Basketball
Predicting NBA scores and statistics with Bayesian models
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 41 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | a month ago |
| Active | |||||
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binomialbasketball.comLatest Issues
Chris Paul's Legendary Playmaking Career
In our previous post, we developed a Bayesian Hierarchical model for playmaking in the NBA.
The full Stan model is at the bottom, but briefly, we learn a latent playmaking variable for each player that predicts their downstream playmaking...
Bayesian NBA Playmaking Modeling
If you’re a subscriber, you’ve probably noticed we’re on a bit of a latent skill modeling kick. First it was shooting ability, then hustling. In this post, we’re going to take a look at modeling players’ underlying playmaking ability
The...
Bayesian Modeling of Hustle in the NBA
Here, we’re looking at how hard players are working. This might be our least serious model yet, but I certainly had a lot of fun working on it.
The Model
As always, the Stan full model is at the bottom of the post. For each player, we l...
Modeling True Shooting Ability
Previously, we’ve developed a comprehensive hierarchical Bayesian model that we applied to FT shooting and 3PT shooting separately.
Here, we develop a more unified model that hierarchically learns each player’s latent shooting ability, by...
Comprehensive NBA 3PT Modeling
Previously, we wrote up our comprehensive FT model.
Here, we adapt this same model to 3PT shooting.
Model
The full Stan model is at the bottom of this post. At a high level, we’re using a hierarchical binomial model, pooled by player p...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 74 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
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Predicting NBA scores and statistics with Bayesian models
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