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Countdown to 2024

Brad Van Arnum

Making sense of America's electoral trends, demographics, and the 2024 presidential election, one map at a time.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues14SubscribersRead countdownto2024.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

50 Days: North Carolina Moves to Toss-Up

Well, here we are, close enough to the election that it now feels right to count down in days rather than weeks. Last I wrote, the Democratic convention had just wrapped up, and Harris was reaching her peak in both state and national polls....

2 months ago
49
23

Ten Weeks: Still A Toss-Up

After a turbulent mid-summer, we approach Labor Day weekend (the official start of the campaign season, or so they tell us) with a race that feels like it’s starting to settle down, at least for the time being. There will be one presidentia...

2 months ago
37
19

Three Months Out: Enter Kamala

Well, it’s been a summer. Or at least, a July. I still remember July of 2016 feeling like an unusually volatile month in that year’s campaign, but I’m not sure that it has anything on the past month. Actually, I’m not even sure what 30-day ...

3 months ago
38
14

The Curious Case of Kamala Harris

Even by the standards of modern American politics, the last two weeks have felt pretty surreal. The debate within the Democratic Party over whether or not Biden should be the nominee has divided the party in highly unusual ways, and the pat...

4 months ago
21
15

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Brad Van Arnum

    Amateur political analyst who writes about the 2024 presidential election, with a focus on the swing states. My newsletter, Countdown to 2024, features periodic updates on the state of the race.

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