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Countdown to 2024

Brad Van Arnum

Making sense of America's electoral trends, demographics, and the 2024 presidential election, one map at a time.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues17SubscribersRead countdownto2024.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Wisconsin: The Closest State

If you had asked me on November 4th how many of the seven swing states would end up being decided by a point or less, I think I might have said at least four of them. I may have even wondered if all seven could potentially come down to such...

8 days ago
13
2

The Morning After

Hi everyone, here’s hoping this e-mail finds you not awake at 5 AM, as I am. With the presidential election having been called for Trump earlier this morning, I thought I’d share a few thoughts on the results. Please forgive any typos or er...

15 days ago
20
13

A Final Look at the Swing States

With under 20 days until Election Day, it’s remarkable how stable the presidential race has been over the last month. National polls have shown Harris leading Trump by an average of between 2 to 3 points, a narrow range that has rarely been...

a month ago
38
11

50 Days: North Carolina Moves to Toss-Up

Well, here we are, close enough to the election that it now feels right to count down in days rather than weeks. Last I wrote, the Democratic convention had just wrapped up, and Harris was reaching her peak in both state and national polls....

2 months ago
51
26

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Brad Van Arnum

    Amateur political analyst who writes about the 2024 presidential election, with a focus on the swing states. My newsletter, Countdown to 2024, features periodic updates on the state of the race.

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