Dark Horse Politics
Josh Taft| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 34 | Subscribers | Read | darkhorsepolitics.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
A very early look at Trump's second term
Photo by Darren Halstead on Unsplash
Starting the 2026 Model Re-work
Long way to go till 2026, but might as well start on remaking the model.
Post-Election Model Review
With the final house race essentially callable, we can now finally go over the model and its performance in the 2024 election. Obviously, at first glance, the model was by all means off. Its final output was D+3 on the day before election d...
Final Model Update - 11/4/24
With this being the final edition to the model updates for 2024, Democrats have ended the campaign by being ahead by three points (exactly, funnily enough). This is not as high as it’s ever been—having peaked in September at D+4.1—but is st...
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Authors
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Author of Dark Horse Politics Newsletter and Election Modeler
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