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Dark Horse Politics

Josh Taft
Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues31SubscribersRead darkhorsepolitics.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Final Model Update - 11/4/24

With this being the final edition to the model updates for 2024, Democrats have ended the campaign by being ahead by three points (exactly, funnily enough). This is not as high as it’s ever been—having peaked in September at D+4.1—but is st...

a month ago
19
0

What did the model look like during the campaigns, and how does it compare to polling?

As the election is only days away, I have decided to make some additional ways of looking at the model. Some of the biggest questions I get about the model fall along the lines of “What did the model show in the run-up to election day in ye...

2 months ago
15
0

Opinion: Societal Implications of a Trump Victory

A Trump win in the 2024 election would undoubtably have massive impacts on almost every facet of life. However, this could also change how we view American society and our public consciousness.

2 months ago
5
0
Paid

Model Update - 10/3/24

With the debates over with—for the foreseeable moment—we enter the last stretch of the campaign before election day. The model now sits at roughly D+3.8, a small increase over the post-DNC update of D+3.5 (of course, anyone paying close att...

2 months ago
14
0

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Josh Taft

    Author of Dark Horse Politics Newsletter and Election Modeler

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