How housing costs got here and where they're going.
Platform | Substack | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
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Issues | 327 | Subscribers | Read | kevinerdmann.substack.com |
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Inflation is now a full 27 months into a clear and sharp return to a 2% trend path, though you wouldn’t know it from the reporting on it. Figure 1 shows several CPI indexes, with and without shelter included. The indexes without shelter are...
Zillow continues to estimate moderately rising rents, with prices rising roughly in the same proportion to rents as they had before Covid.
Jonah Freemark shared this chart:
Previously, I have estimated the deviation in the trend of adults per home, trends in homeownership, and trends in the types of homes being constructed. This post is just another stab at that with some slightly different visuals.
The writers behind this newsletter.
I discovered a new framework for understanding the housing bubble, the financial crisis, and costly housing markets. And, I have developed a novel framework for estimating the effects of supply constraints vs changing demand on home prices.
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