Fed Watch Advisors Notes
Ben EmonsDaily commentaries about markets, macro, Fed, data, earnings, stocks & bonds, politics and crypto. FedWatch Advisors: https://fedwatchadvisor.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 81 | Subscribers | Read | benemons.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Photo Finish
To the V-shaping in markets, it appears that the Trump trade (or Harris) does not matter. The dollar loses a bid on the Iowa poll surprise, but underneath, it is just a pairing of positions going into an event that people expect to be a pho...
Soft Landing Hike
The thinking is that Treasury yields have once again overshot, and as mortgage rates cross 7 percent, the housing slowdown will soon show up in other data. But what happened Friday is an entirely different story.
The New Risk
What do Meta and UK Gilts have in common? They share a revenue projection that is being questioned as the spending splurge continues.
Return of the Reopening Trade
An adage is that when the oil price rallies, it causes a “reflation.” The price of energy signals economic strength (or weakness); a sharp drop or rise may sometimes provide a different signal.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Ben Emons is the Founder of Fed Watch Advisors, a quantitative project about central bank investing.
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