Fed Watch Advisors Notes
Ben EmonsDaily commentaries about markets, macro, Fed, data, earnings, stocks & bonds, politics and crypto. FedWatch Advisors: https://fedwatchadvisor.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 395 | Subscribers | Read | benemons.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Fed Family Feud
On the front page of the WSJ, Nick summarizes the dissenting regional Presidents and their reasons for opposing further policy easing.
A Yen Intervention for Oil
An intervention in the Yen amounted to $34 billion USD, according to the BoJ’s current account data. The Yen moved two “big figures” (from 157 to 155 against the USD), and that helped “stabilize” oil to the downside. This is the first sign ...
A Low Profile
The prediction markets had it right; the odds are 95% that Powell will stay on the Board for at least 3 months. His explanation, however, was “hawkish” because Fed independence must be guarded, especially against external legal attacks.
5.25% Adverse Scenario
The UK Institute, NIESR, independently issued a warning about an adverse scenario: the Bank of England could be forced to raise rates back to 5.25% if the Gulf’s energy shock persists over the next 1 to 3 months.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
“I break down institutional flows, Fed signals, and strategic resources so investors can see what the pros see.”
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