Fed Watch Advisors Notes
Ben EmonsDaily commentaries about markets, macro, Fed, data, earnings, stocks & bonds, politics and crypto. FedWatch Advisors: https://fedwatchadvisor.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 351 | Subscribers | Read | benemons.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Tripple Witched Rates
The energy shock has secondary effects, including at the front end of the yield curve. Yesterday’s outsized moves in 2Y yields— e.g., a 33-basis-point intra-day swing in the UK—are due to an investor reassessment that a new rate-hike cycle ...
Infrastructure Wars
The conflict has pivoted from tanker wars in the Strait to infrastructure wars in the Gulf region.
Decisively Hawkish
The Fed was, in my view, decisively hawkish. The tone of the language and the statement was cautious, and during the press conference, Powell emphasized that inflation expectations are key to judging the current energy shock. In fact, he sa...
The Claw 6
Oil prices are falling because the Iraqi and Kurdish governments have agreed to an export deal allowing 100K barrels of oil to flow through the port of Ceyhan. Restoring flows outside the still-blocked Strait, where only 1.2 million barrels...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
“I break down institutional flows, Fed signals, and strategic resources so investors can see what the pros see.”
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