Fed Watch Advisors Notes
Ben EmonsDaily commentaries about markets, macro, Fed, data, earnings, stocks & bonds, politics and crypto. FedWatch Advisors: https://fedwatchadvisor.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 372 | Subscribers | Read | benemons.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
The Disrupted CPI
The Fed has a few CPI measures that isolate the index from certain categories to gauge the underlying trend. This multivariate core trend inflation, often mentioned by Williams, stood just below 3 percent in January and will be updated next...
Strait Leverage
Iran keeps leverage over the Strait without using significant military force. Iran gains its leverage from a flexible missile arsenal, remaining at ~1,500 missiles and ~200 launchers after 40 days of war, buried deep underground in the West...
A Quicker Resolution
Markets cheer the ceasefire, but investors must game out what the structural changes will be when the US and Iran reach a compromise. For one, the US itself, whose international position may have been weakened by the way the President manag...
Clock Tower Strikes 8 PM
With every new threat to escalate the conflict, the market’s reaction is getting milder. Yields are up by half from previous escalatory episodes; the same goes for Brent, which is up by a marginal $1, while Gold is gaining, and equities are...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
“I break down institutional flows, Fed signals, and strategic resources so investors can see what the pros see.”
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