Fed Watch Advisors Notes
Ben EmonsDaily commentaries about markets, macro, Fed, data, earnings, stocks & bonds, politics and crypto. FedWatch Advisors: https://fedwatchadvisor.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 253 | Subscribers | Read | benemons.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
AI-Inflation
While PCE this morning may taste like stale crackers and lukewarm water, the number is nonetheless pivotal. For one, this number may begin to reflect AI’s impact on prices.
Land of the Rising JGB
It is another record-setting day in the land of Japanese Government Bonds (“JGBs”). Yields reached new highs, and the 10Y is close to 2 percent, which is a level from the mid-2000s and mid-1990s. One reason is that JGBs confront a policy di...
ADP's Unemployment Rate
The dismal ADP report has a few additional tidbits worth noting. The popularized K-shape economy of large-company versus small-company employment began earlier, in the first quarter of 2024, than shown in today’s number (see Figure 1, court...
Rare Earth Race
In the AI race, it is all about the power of processors (TPUs or GPUs) and chips. But what all of those are driven by is rare earths, which have entered the race as well.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Ben Emons is the Founder of Fed Watch Advisors, a quantitative project about central bank investing.
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