Forecasting Research Institute
Forecasting Research InstituteUsing the science of forecasting to improve decision-making on high-stake issues
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 11 | Subscribers | Read | forecastingresearch.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
What Do Experts and Superforecasters Think about the Geopolitical Implications of AI?
In the latest wave of the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP), we asked panelists to consider the geopolitical and military implications of AI. We asked questions about U.S.–China AI polarity, chip manufacturing, and cyberweapons, as well a...
How Well Did Superforecasters and Experts Predict Wet Lab Skill Uplift from LLMs?
(Post written by Jamie Parry, Bridget Williams, Zack Devlin-Foltz, and Matt Reynolds)
LLMs Are Closing the Gap on Human Superforecasters
(Post written by Houtan Bastani, Simas Kučinskas, and Matt Reynolds)
What Experts and Superforecasters Think About the Future of AI Research and Development
Wave 4 of the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP) asked panelists to forecast how the rising use of artificial intelligence will affect AI-related research and development and how this may impact leading AI and technology companies. Some ex...
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Advancing the science of forecasting for the public good.
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