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Friarssssss's Substack

Friarssssss

My personal Substack

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues6Founded4 months agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

What Should The Padres Do At the Deadline?

Hovering around .500 is a scary place to be at the deadline. Baseball is so unpredictable it’s nearly impossible to make decisions with such imperfect data. We can formulate and project every player’s rest-of-season stats and try to predict...

6 days ago

The Sell-Off: What 30 Years of Deadline Sales Actually Buy

For teams well out of the playoff race come July, a sale usually lends some hope for the future. A batch of young talent, brimming with promise and glowing scouting reports, rushes into their minor league system, ready to become the next st...

8 days ago
2
1

The Jackson Merrill Mental Death Spiral

Watching Jackson Merrill at the plate in 2026 is an exercise in frustration. We’ve seen this kid play at an all-star level. We’ve seen the flashes that earned him a 9-year extension and the expectation of an elite hitter with elite defense....

17 days ago
2
1

It's Not the Aces: Rethinking the Padres' Offensive Slump

This is a stream of consciousness piece. Follow along to read an ADHD fueled data-bender.

The first place I wanted to start is from an aggregate point of view. So instead of looking at individual pitches and velocity, let’s take a look at...

2 months ago
2

Signal, Noise, and Swing Geometry: A Forensic Look at the Padres' First Week

Through six games, the Padres are hitting the ball harder than they did in 2025 with a 43% hard-hit rate, yet they have almost nothing to show for it. A team wOBA of .268 puts them as one of the worst offensive teams right out of the gate....

3 months ago

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