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Ivan Cryptoslav

I'm a speculator and polyglot writing about predictions, current events, and crypto. Subscribe to improve your own decision-making with insightful, engaging, and witty analysis from someone with skin in the game.

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues26Founded2 years agoLast Issue2 months ago
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Latest Issues

Viktor Orbán Will (Probably) Lose The Election In Hungary🇭🇺

Our friendship began in 2009 when you received me at the St. Petersburg Library.

But yesterday, our friendship rose to such a high level that I can help in any way. There is a story in our Hungarian picture books where a mouse helps a lion...

2 months ago
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And The Next Fed Chair Is...

Author’s note: I wrote a short post-mortem note after the announcement. At the time of this edit, Kevin Warsh still hasn’t been formally nominated, so the number is subject to change.

This week, Donald Trump fired his last bullet at Jerome...

5 months ago
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Here's What Will Happen In Venezuela 🇻🇪

Nicolás Maduro was on the ropes. On January 3, Donald Trump knocked him out.

To be more precise, Maduro was kidnapped to join Diddy, Luigi Mangione, Ghislaine Maxwell, El Chapo, and R.Kelly in the Brooklyn Metropolitan Correctional Center....

5 months ago
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10 Predictions For 2026

What kind of forecaster would I be if I didn’t publish the obligatory ‘2026 forecasts’?

After reviewing 2025, it’s time to look ahead to 2026. And I’m pretty sure it will not be boring at all!

I’ll make 10 predictions — most rather unspec...

6 months ago
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2025 In Review: 12 Lessons In 12 Months

It’s been a long year.

If you actively trade on or are at least interested in it, this ‘2025 review’ essay will hopefully be useful for you.

I will walk you through my monthly recaps, drawing conclusions and lessons that can help me — a...

6 months ago
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    I'm a geopolitics trader writing about current events and prediction markets. Subscribe to read insightful, engaging, and witty analysis from someone with skin in the game.

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