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John Dee's Climate Normal

John Dee
Tens of paid subscribers

A retired UK G7 government scientist and former head of a statistical modelling section puts down the pruning shears to explore the story of climate change as told through numbers. Articles are archived behind a paywall after 2 weeks.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues216Founded4 years agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Artwork for John Dee's Climate Normal

Latest Issues

Heatwaves & Death (part 6)

Now that I’ve got my readership excited wrt granular date of death data, I perhaps ought to mention a big, big problem. I had thought it would be useful to compare all cause mortality for warmer summers with mortality for cooler summers to...

4 days ago
11

Heatwaves & Death (part 5)

Following on from findings in part 4, I have no doubt there are some readers who’d say, “why don’t you just concentrate on the period 2009 – 2019?”. The following matrix is for them:

Thus, even with a period of reasonably stable mortality,...

11 days ago
9

Heatwaves & Death (part 4)

I examine all cause crude mortality for England occurring during summer weeks in relation to measures of maximum temperature derived from the HadCET database

What I did in part 3 is use a particular time series modelling technique to estim...

18 days ago
13
Paid

Heatwaves & Death (part 3)

I introduce the concept of intervention analysis and use it to model the effect of heatwaves on excess all cause deaths & excess mortality for England & Wales

If any of the latter part of part 2 came across as gobbledegook, then bear in mi...

25 days ago
11
Paid

Heatwaves & Death (part 2)

Today I take a look at excess all cause crude mortality for England & Wales, then rustle-up some temperature data using the central England temperature record (HadCET)

We left off in part 1 with me musing on all cause crude mortality in En...

a month ago
15
Paid

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  • John Dee

    A former UK G7 government scientist and one-time NHS 'suit' who, being an applied statistician, simply can't resist crunching numbers for breakfast each day. To ensure my work continues please consider becoming a paid subscriber.

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