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Kisco Capital Substack

Paul J McCarthy III

Weekly market analysis from a CFA and fiduciary advisor. Economic data, Fed policy, and S&P 500 technicals—institutional insights without the jargon.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues53SubscribersRead kiscocap.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Headline by Appointment

Way too many headlines this week to discuss and most ended up creating a lot of confusion regarding Iran and the potential for the Strait of Hormuz to re-open. My read is that the US/Iran peace negotiation process could easily get drawn out...

12 days ago
3
0

Slip and Slide

This was the week the Federal Reserve tried to thread a needle while the world was on fire. The FOMC held rates steady, the dot plot projected just one cut for the rest of the year, producer prices came in hot, durable goods orders disappoi...

19 days ago
0
0

Trapped!!!

What is striking about this week is how interconnected everything is. Inflation, oil, the Fed, the stock market — these aren’t four separate stories. They’re one story, and energy is the thread that ties them together. The price of oil is d...

a month ago
4
0

It's Getting Slippery

This was a week that began with cruise missiles over Tehran and ended with one of the worst jobs reports in recent memory. Oil is spiking, the Strait of Hormuz is effectively shut, and the labor market is cracking. There’s a lot to unpack. ...

a month ago
3
0

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Paul J McCarthy III

    Paul McCarthy, CFA—founder of Kisco Capital, fiduciary advisor in Mt. Kisco, NY. Former hedge fund portfolio manager who managed $6.5B+ through multiple market crashes. Weekly market analysis covering economic data, Fed policy & technical charts.

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