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Macro Market Musings

Nick Givanovic

What macro market trends are and (hopefully) why.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues7SubscribersRead markettrends.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

The shape of the Yield Curve under QT

I don’t follow many market related discussions on Twitter, primarily because I am not a “theory” guy and secondly because I have total contempt for most Twatter-based furus, given the undeniable fact that they never get anything right, but ...

3 years ago
23
7

Stocks, Bonds and the Yield Curve

In Part 1 I promised that I would “go deeper into the current absolute levels of government bonds, the Yield Curve, S&P Sectors and how to construct stock portfolios for every kind of bond market environment.”, so here goes…

4 years ago
16
3

Stocks, Bonds and the Yield Curve

You might have heard that stocks are at an all time high. You also might have heard that stocks perform well during periods of higher bond yields. Yes and no. Some stocks are at all time highs, others are well off their highs and still head...

4 years ago
37
14

Macro is the Weather. Part 3.

In Parts 1 & 2 we saw how and why the markets react (and most often vastly over-react) to events due to marginal changes in liquidity. I have also argued that all the reasons behind the over-reaction function are in trend and unlikely to ge...

4 years ago
14
27

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Nick Givanovic

    Retired HF Principal, still trying to make sense of the markets. Speaking yield to prejudice and battling market views that are at odds with mathematics.

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