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Macro Notes

Noah Zelvis

Latest macroeconomic trends, market-moving news, and key indicators to watch.

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Latest Issues

The Dovish Reset Is Here and Friday's Jobs Print Could Confirm It

The bar for a September cut just dropped, oil cracked, and the dollar sank to a six-week low all in one session. If you have unhedged international exposure or dry powder waiting on duration, the setup into Friday matters more than anything...

6 days ago

The Peace Dividend Rally Has Repriced Every Asset Class

A quiet round of backchannel talks is repricing everything on your screen. Crude's off the war highs. The 10-year cracked. Equities hit fresh records Monday. Next 60 days? Comes down to one handshake.

Geothermal Shift Begins (Sponsored)...

8 days ago

Yen Intervention, Tariff Pass-Through, and a Jobs Print That Sets September in Motion

Four catalysts are stacking on top of each other this week, and the rotation underneath the index is doing more work than the headline tape shows.

If you are only watching the S&P print, you are going to miss where the real money is chang...

9 days ago

The Metal Market Is Telling You Something the Fed Won't

Look, there's a disconnect on the screens right now, and few on the sell side will say it out loud. S&P 500 at 7,437, up almost 17% on the year. Champagne all around.

Now look underneath. Gold's run roughly 25%. Silver, 60%. Copper, 50%....

11 days ago

Long Bonds, Loud Hawks, and a Burning Tanker

The Fed held rates again, but three governors broke ranks and voted for a hike — and Kevin Warsh wasn't one of them. That single non-vote sent the dollar lower, the 30-year to a 19-year high, and oil up 7%.

Power Beyond Grid (Sponsored)...

13 days ago

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