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Mark Roulston

Mark Roulston

Climate research to financial markets and back again.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesInfrequently
Issues2SubscribersRead markroulston.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

The broken promise of prediction markets

Photo by Sean Lee on Unsplash

In 2008 Kenneth Arrow and more than a dozen other distinguished economists, five of who were or would become Nobel laureates, published an article in Science describing “The Promise of Prediction Markets”. The...

2 months ago

Most prediction markets are not prediction markets

Photo by Christopher Ryan on Unsplash

The rise of prediction markets and stock-trading platforms like Robinhood has people asking where the line is between gambling and investing. The line might not be a bright one but we can look for clue...

5 months ago

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  • Mark Roulston

    Climate research to financial markets and back again.

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