MICA 市場分析
MICA分析區塊鏈與加密貨幣市場現況及趨勢
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 1768 | Subscribers | Read | mica.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
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川普對伊朗「最後通牒」，將如何影響幣市？
隨著美國政府對霍爾木茲海峽危機設定的最後通牒期限（2026年4月6日）進入最後不足24小時，比特幣（報價 67,355 美元）面臨關鍵時刻，宏觀經濟環境極度動盪：布蘭特原油價格在上週四（4月2日）飆升至 141.36 美元，創下自 2008 年以來的最高水平，隨後在週五（4月3日）收盤時回落至 109.03 美元。儘管油價稍有緩解，但伊朗境內空襲的升級仍使比特幣籠罩在嚴峻的外生風險陰影下，然而，鏈上數據顯示出一種足以無視新聞恐慌的韌性。
不再炒幣了？黃金、白銀躋身幣安期貨交易量前五名
去加密貨幣交易所很理所當然是「炒幣」，根據 CryptoQuant 數據，雖然目前加密貨幣仍佔據幣安期貨交易量的大部分，但這個情況漸漸有所改變。幣安期貨交易量中，BTC 以 215 億美元領先，ETH 以 181 億美元緊隨其後，而 SOL 雖以 30 億美元位居第三，與前兩名差距較大，但仍穩居主流山寨幣合約的前列。
ETH 波動率繼續躺平，跌至去年一月以來最低
幣安的 ETH 的 30 天實現「波動率指數」顯示，市場進入明顯的沉寂期，數值已降至約 0.62，為 2025 年 1 月以來的最低水平，這一跌幅反映了價格波動的顯著減少，以及近期交易時段內投機活動的減弱。
幣圈進入熊市，BTC 礦工還有在賣嗎？
自 2025 年初以來，CryptoQuant 的礦工供應比率（Miner Supply Ratio）持續下降，顯示礦工發送到幣安的 BTC 數量正在減少，儘管如此，BTC 價格卻呈現先升後跌的走勢。這表明即便礦工賣壓減輕，價格仍有可能下跌。
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Blockchain and cryptocurrency are disrupting investment and fundraising behaviors. MICA is the bridge to this new era.
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