
分析區塊鏈與加密貨幣市場現況及趨勢
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 1758 | Subscribers | Read | mica.substack.com |
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昨天晚上美國公布了 CPI ,數據都合符市場預期,以往公布 CPI 都是重大事件,但這次因為中東局勢影響,所以市場沒有放太多注意力在這次數據上,所以美股指數漲跌沒有方向,BTC 也依然維持在 7 萬美元的阻力徘徊,雖然短期看似站穩,但市場情緒依然悲觀,所以 7 萬能否站穩都是未知之數,最終還是要看中東局勢發展。
根據幣安 ETH 未平倉合約 30 天 Z-Score 數據表現,近幾個月來 ETH 衍生品市場的結構發生了顯著變化,最新數據顯示,幣安上以太坊合約的總未平倉量約為 42.6 億美元,而 30 日移動平均值約為 41.8 億美元。同期標準差約為 2.858 億美元,Z-Score 約為 0.29,這種溫和的數值顯示,未平倉量正趨近於歷史平均水平,市場並未出現過度槓桿的情況。
週末中東局勢續惡化,伊朗的原油儲藏設施被以色列襲擊,導致原油期貨價格一度飆破 110 美元,原油價格飆漲通常是地綠政治危機的指標,歷史上油價漲通常伴隨著股市跌,現在加密貨幣市場與美股聯動性高,所以如果美下跌,幣市很大機會會跟隨。目前中東戰況也進入白熱化階段,所以預計市場情緒也會越來越差。
ETH 資金費率曾在一段長時間內維持正值,這顯示多頭在衍生品市場中佔據主導地位,反映出市場當時持續的看漲預期。然而,在這些正費率期間,價格並未出現一致的拉升,這證明了僅憑正資金費率並不能保證價格會向上移動。
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Blockchain and cryptocurrency are disrupting investment and fundraising behaviors. MICA is the bridge to this new era.
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