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Perspective on Risk

Brian Peters

A risk manager / regulator / central bankers take

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues319Founded5 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Perspective on Risk — May 20, 2026 (Japan Leads the Rate Cycle Through Its Plumbing)

And the configuration is more dangerous than it was in August 2024, because the structural carry trade is built on Japanese life insurer balance sheets, not on hedge-fund leverage.


The recent leg of the developed-market sell-off has...

7 days ago
3

Perspective on Risk - May 15, 2026 (Grabbag)

Note: Over on Demographics & Capital flows I have two new posts: The EU Surplus Will Persist. The Within-EU Imbalance Will Widen and Is the US Fiscal Deficit a Symptom or a Cause? Yes. Feel free to take a read.

Chuck Prince Quote of th...

12 days ago
5

Perspective on Risk - May 11, 2026 (Liquidity Regulation)

There is a familiar rhythm to financial regulation.

Crisis → diagnosis → rules → unintended consequences → reform

Before turning to the March 3 proposals on liquidity, it is worth setting the stage. The framing of those proposals, that po...

16 days ago
7

Perspective on Risk — May 4, 2026 (Dollar & RMB Developments)

The architecture is real. The supports are contingent.

Three months ago, Perspective on Risk - Jan. 30, 2026 (Dollar Developments) argued that the parallel financial architecture is real — CIPS, the Chuxin conduit, RMB invoicing, mBri...

23 days ago
26
1

Perspective on Risk - Apr. 28, 2026

Note: Over on Demographics & Capital Flows I have a new posts, Fiscal Stagnation Is Mostly Already Here. Korea Is the Open Question.

Swap Lines

One + one = two?

First, Paulson suggests we need a break-the-glass plan:

  • Henry Paul...
a month ago
6
3

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  • Brian Peters

    Risk Manager Former Fed Bank Regulator Systemic risk lover

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