Probably Overthinking It
Allen DowneyA blog about data science, Bayesian statistics, and more.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 372 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 42 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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allendowney.substack.comLatest Issues
The Adoption Curve
This is an excerpt from my book-in-progress, You Would Choose Now: Measuring America’s Progress Toward Fairness and Tolerance. It’s a data-driven exploration of progress (or not) in public opinion and civil rights. The completed chapters ar...
How was the policy? Don’t ask
This is an excerpt from my book-in-progress, You Would Choose Now: Measuring America’s Progress Toward Fairness and Tolerance. It’s a data-driven exploration of progress (or not) in public opinion and civil rights. The completed chapters ar...
It was already illegal?
This is an excerpt from my book-in-progress, You Would Choose Now: Measuring America’s Progress Toward Fairness and Tolerance. It’s a data-driven exploration of progress in public opinion and civil rights. The completed chapters are availab...
The Low-fertility Club Is Becoming Less Exclusive
In June 2026 The Economist reported that India’s total fertility rate has fallen to 1.9, which is below replacement rate (generally considered 2.1). They note:
Over two-thirds of all countries are now below the replacement rate. Middle-i...
Healthy Life Expectancy and the Gender Gap
This is Part 5 in a series on gender gaps in life expectancy, what causes them, and what we can do about it.
So far we’ve focused on life expectancy, but the Global Gender Gap Report (GGGR) we cited in Part 1 uses healthy life expec...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I am the author Think Python, Think Bayes, Probably Overthinking It, and a new book-in-progress, You Would Choose Now: Measuring America's Progress Toward Fairness and Tolerance.
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