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| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 253 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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prophetnotes.comLatest Issues
Forecast Update: The Fed
Situation Monitor #17: 9/16/2026 Weekly Forecast Update
What a ride! We went from a 76% chance of no change to an 88% chance of a 25bps hike in less than a month:
Global Outlook: Good & Bad News
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
Global Outlook: Wars, Rates & Midterms
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
Forecast Update: Iran, Ukraine & The Fed
Situation Monitor #16: 9/6/2026 Weekly Forecast Update
I’m reviving this series as a forecast update on the global events I cover. While deep dives are great for introducing a new thesis, they are not optimal for updating—often I needed to...
Global Outlook: Strike Back
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
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I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research
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