PROPHET NOTES
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| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 199 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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prophetnotes.comLatest Issues
Recap: Growth
Welcome to the 18th State of the PROPHET NOTES. As there are a lot of new subscribers, I use this series to give you a monthly update on my performance on prediction markets as well as a high-level outlook for the next month.
For me accoun...
Global Outlook: Escalation
Iranian missile in Southern Israel. Source: Al Jazeera
Welcome to another week! Monday started with the news of strikes between Israel and Iran. Small kinetic action is back, but nothing is as it seems. The Ukraine war is also getting inte...
The Post-War Order In The Middle East
What's the game?
Not a single analysis of the Iran war I read bothered to offer a forecast of the future. All of them tried to explain Trump’s actions. All of them judged these actions. All of them provided a set of supposedly better solut...
Global Outlook: Push & Pull
It’s not what you think it is. Source: aliens.gov
Welcome to another week! It feels like the Trump admin is all in on teasing us as there is no progress whatsoever. The imminent Iran deals that never come, alien disclosure that fell short...
I've Been Stupid
Situation Monitor #11: 5/29/2026 Weekly Portfolio Update
There comes a time in every trader’s life when a profound realization of stupidity hits you. It’s not a singular event. Rather, it comes from time to time, especially after a not so...
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Geopolitics | Prediction Markets | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research
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