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| Platform | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 262 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 10 days ago |
| Active | |||||

Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
Situation Monitor #19: 10/24/2026 Weekly Forecast Update
I’m back with the forecast updates after a brief hiatus. With 10 days to midterms, there’s plenty to cover, and there will be more. Starting next week I’ll try to have daily updates....
Blue Wave, Blue Tsunami, or just a mirage?
Creating a model of US elections is a nightmare, you know? In these midterms alone, we have 506 individual races. Apart from the governor races, they all add up to Senate and House control. There...
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
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I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research
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