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PROPHET NOTES

PROPHET

Join PROPHET NOTES to get reliable and straight to the point commentary on global events with skin in the game.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues193Founded2 years agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

What If The Iran War Doesn't End?

Imagine the unimaginable.

Politics is the art of using any situation to your advantage. A good politician is one who can extract maximum benefits, even from a crisis. And arguably, Trump is the best politician the US has seen since probabl...

6 days ago
4
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Global Outlook: Disappointment

Source: The Online Citizen

Welcome to another week! We were all waiting for Trump’s China visit. Expectations were high, but ultimately we were left with almost nothing. Both leaders failed to reach an agreement on a single issue between t...

9 days ago
3

Global Outlook: A Packed Week

Source: Fortune

Welcome to another week! We are still in a difficult spot when it comes to the Iran war as we are awaiting the new narrative of the week amid the stalemate. But as usual, there are plenty of developments outside of the war....

15 days ago
3

Waiting

Situation Monitor #10: 5/8/2026 Weekly Portfolio Update

During the weekend we saw a rather unusual development on prediction markets, with Ukraine ceasefire markets resolved to Yes, against precedents. I’ve written my comment on the situat...

16 days ago
4
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Recap: Sideways

Welcome to the 17th State of the PROPHET NOTES. As there are a lot of new subscribers, I use this series to give you a monthly update on my performance on prediction markets as well as a high-level outlook for the next month.

For me accoun...

21 days ago
3

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    Geopolitics | Prediction Markets | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research

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