PROPHET NOTES
Mike S.Join PROPHET NOTES to get reliable and straight to the point commentary on global events with skin in the game.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 244 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 2 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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prophetnotes.comLatest Issues
Forecast Update: Iran
Situation Monitor #14: 8/15/2026 Weekly Forecast Update
I’m reviving this series as a forecast update on the global events I cover. While deep dives are great for introducing a new thesis, they are not optimal for updating—often I needed t...
Recap: Green
Welcome to the 20th State of the PROPHET NOTES. As there are a lot of new subscribers, I use this series to give you a monthly update on my performance on prediction markets as well as a high-level outlook for the next month.
For me accoun...
Global Outlook: Deal Rumors
Welcome to another week! The big news comes from the Middle East (of course!), but we have quite a few interesting developments in the US, Venezuela (where elections might be coming) and Ukraine, which is working hard ahead of winter.
Each...
Forecast Update: Iran, Clarity Act & Ukraine
Situation Monitor #13: 8/8/2026 Weekly Forecast Update
I’m reviving this series as a forecast update on the global events I cover. While deep dives are great for introducing a new thesis, they are not optimal for updating—often I needed to...
Global Outlook: The Art of the Pause
You know The Art of the Deal, but do you know The Art of the Pause?
Welcome to another week! Trump once again stopped a massive escalation hours before his threat expired. Iran and the US are supposed to negotiate again starting today as t...
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I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research
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