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PROPHET NOTES

Mike S.
Tens of paid subscribers

Join PROPHET NOTES to get reliable and straight to the point commentary on global events with skin in the game.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues253Founded3 years agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

Forecast Update: The Fed

Situation Monitor #17: 9/16/2026 Weekly Forecast Update

What a ride! We went from a 76% chance of no change to an 88% chance of a 25bps hike in less than a month:

8 days ago
4
Paid

Global Outlook: Good & Bad News

Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...

10 days ago
6

Global Outlook: Wars, Rates & Midterms

Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...

17 days ago
4

Forecast Update: Iran, Ukraine & The Fed

Situation Monitor #16: 9/6/2026 Weekly Forecast Update

I’m reviving this series as a forecast update on the global events I cover. While deep dives are great for introducing a new thesis, they are not optimal for updating—often I needed to...

18 days ago
5
Paid

Global Outlook: Strike Back

Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...

24 days ago
3

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  • Mike S.

    I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research

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