RWA
Ron William | RW AdvisoryMarket insights - blended macro and tactical overlays, driven by cycle models, offering differentiated alpha and thematic idea generation.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 50 | Subscribers | Read | ronwilliam.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Shaken, but not yet stirred
The sharp relief rally from prior market declines has been driven largely by geopolitical premium swings, prompting investors to stress-test the looming reality of a more serious global crisis. The mood may feel unsettled—markets, like a we...
The Mispriced Escalation Risk: Oil Super Spike
Global energy markets are undergoing a rapid repricing as geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalate. Within just seven days, prediction markets shifted dramatically—from pricing ~85% odds of a near-term ceasefire to less than...
Fragile Geopolitics & Rising Oil Shock Risk
Following joint US–Israel military strikes on Iran, tensions appear to be intensifying beyond initial expectations. What reportedly shifted from a tentative diplomatic pathway quickly reversed into a “shock-and-awe” leadership decapitation ...
The Fire Horse Cycle: Markets at the edge of regime change
As 2026 approaches under the Fire Horse (丙午), the backdrop suggests acceleration rather than stability. I first began incorporating the Chinese zodiac cycle into my market framework while living in Hong Kong, where Lunar New Year rhythms sh...
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Market insights - blended macro and tactical overlays, driven by cycle models, offering differentiated alpha and thematic idea generation.
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