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The Monetary Commentary

Monetary Commentary

Monetary plumbing, macroeconomics, financial markets. Powered by AI and human intelligence.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues53SubscribersRead monetarycommentary.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Europe’s credit has turned up while the ECB shrinks

Euro-area NFC loan growth moved from slightly negative in 2023 to roughly 3% Y/Y by mid-2025, even as the ECB balance sheet declined from its 2022 peak.

3 months ago
2
0

[COPY] Offshore dollar claims keep rising even as global liquidity tightens

The chart shows a steady, almost structural rebuild of offshore dollar claims since the pandemic, rising from 2016 through early 2025. That expansion is notable because it happened against a backdrop of dollar strength (the inverted DXY), s...

3 months ago
4
0

Offshore dollar claims keep rising even as global liquidity tightens

The chart shows a steady, almost structural rebuild of offshore dollar claims since the pandemic, rising from 2016 through early 2025. That expansion is notable because it happened against a backdrop of dollar strength (the inverted DXY), s...

3 months ago
4
0

The new productivity mirage

The gap between productivity and pay has reopened, and this time it’s not globalization or offshoring doing it. Rather, it’s capex-heavy automation and price stickiness.

3 months ago
2
0

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Monetary Commentary

    Economics is my obsession. Macro charts/research. AI- and human-powered. Not advice

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