The Monetary Commentary
Monetary CommentaryMacroeconomics, financial markets, econ history. Powered by AI and human insight.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
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| Issues | 169 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
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monetarycommentary.substack.comLatest Issues
Recession files (part 6): the railroad boom breaks down
This recession is the less famous sequel to the Panic of 1873, but it may be the better chart for understanding how the railroad economy actually behaved once the post-Long Depression recovery got going.
The expansion after 1879 was power...
Recession files (part 5): the Long Depression begins
This is where the Recession Files series stops looking like isolated postwar turbulence and starts looking like modern U.S. financial capitalism. The downturn that followed the Panic of 1873 lasted from the October 1873 business-cycle peak...
Recession files (part 4): the gold-market panic downturn
This recession is easy to mishandle because the dramatic event is obvious: Black Friday, when Jay Gould and Jim Fisk’s attempt to corner the gold market ended in a violent break on September 24, 1869.
But the chart should not reduce the w...
Recession files (part 3): the postwar economy unwinds hard
This chart captures the recession that followed the Civil War. The U.S. was trying to convert a war economy back into a private commercial economy while the institutional foundations of the old economy were being rewritten.
The business a...
Recession files (part 2): the pre-Civil War economy cracks
The second recession in the series is strange because it is both historically enormous and economically easy to overstate (here is part 1 ICYM).
The chart shows the last cyclical downturn before the war economy existed. Business activity...
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Very good macro charts and actionable insights using public data
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