
Macro/markets/economic history
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Could be setting up for descending triangle breakout
Blend Labs is currently the only stock I own—and it has not treated me kindly.
My average price is $2.65 per share, leaving me down roughly 33%. With the stock around $1....
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The 1923-24 recession is the one that keeps the Roaring Twenties honest.
The decade is usually remembered as a clean boom between the postwar deflation bust and the Great Depression. The actual cycle was messier. After the M...
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The 1920-21 recession was a price-level earthquake.
The who was the postwar U.S. economy: factories, farms, merchants, workers, banks, and a young Federal Reserve still learning what it meant to fight inflation.
The what w...
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The recession of 1918-19 was short, but the timing is everything.
It began after the August 1918 business-cycle peak, while the U.S. was still mobilized for World War I. Then, on November 11, the Armistice arrived. War produ...
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The Federal Reserve was born during a recession.
The downturn began after the January 1913 business-cycle peak, nearly a full year before Woodrow Wilson signed the Federal Reserve Act on December 23, 1913. That timing matter...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Very good macro charts and historical insights | Over a decade deep in economics and financial markets | Not advice
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