The Monetary Commentary
Monetary CommentaryMonetary plumbing, macroeconomics, financial markets. Powered by AI and human intelligence.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 110 | Subscribers | Read | monetarycommentary.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Fed QT to bill buying pivot signals a new balance sheet regime
That late jump in SOMA bill share alongside the steady bleed in the MBS share is the Fed quietly swapping from a crisis-era duration portfolio into an operating portfolio, meaning they want the balance sheet to behave like a standing liquid...
China’s household credit plateau tracks the real property unwind
What jumps out is the regime shift from China’s old “household balance sheet as growth engine” into a state-driven credit economy where corporate credit keeps grinding along while the household channel goes structurally flat as property pri...
Greenland’s strategic premium rises as Arctic ice retreats
$REMX trades like a China policy barometer and a global risk appetite sleeve, so it only sporadically “hears” the Arctic story, even when sea ice deficits are screaming that physical access is widening. That gap is the Greenland trade. Sea ...
Mortgage–treasury spread slides toward post-covid lows
A mortgage–treasury spread sliding back toward post-Covid lows is stealth easing even when the 10Y refuses to cooperate, because every basis point of spread compression translates into a lower mortgage rate without any Fed pivot theatrics, ...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Very good macro charting and analysis using public data. Not financial advice. Not a PhD economist. Not your quant
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