A journey through the oil markets from the physical perspective. We take a look at barrels moving
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Rules of Engagement
Getting comfortable with volatility
The market sold off on yet another TACO that it shouldn’t have priced in anyway (when we hit 90s), so halting “the biggest strike since WWII” reversed all of last week’s move.
Situational Awareness
Take a look around
After falling nearly 20% in just three trading sessions, crude found its footing in the high $80s as the July Brent contract expires. Throughout July, Brent traded within a remarkable ~$33 range as the conflict with Iran...
The Odyssey
Trying to keep pace with events
Where do we even begin? If we have to explain this week’s rally, it cannot be pinned on a single event, rather, it was the culmination of a series of developments we were already aware of, but had assigned a...
Uncanny Valley
somehow feels different....
On the surface, it all feels like more of the same, attacks and counter strikes, threats and TACOs, yet over the past few days there has been a growing sense that something has changed compared to what we have s...
Crude Awakening
To remind us they are still alive
No one should have been surprised by the episodes we saw this week, the asymmetric upside risk was undeniable with every passing day without any news from the front, and with every ship making the cross we...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I used to move barrels for a living
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