Tiger Polymarket Prediction
A Princetonian polymarket prediction team, transfer event uncertainty to tradable probabilities Daily:short-term trade setup（sports, news, crypto, weather…) if ∃ Weekly:long-term trade setup（politics, macro, structural theme...)+auto-trade algorithm
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 94 | Founded | 3 months ago | Last Issue | 47 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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tigerpolymarketprediction.substack....Latest Issues
South America to Win Continent at 21% — Pedigree + Path Not Priced
The market underprices South America to produce the 2026 World Cup winner because it overweights Europe’s depth across multiple teams while underweighting the proven pedigree, cohesion, and favorable tournament paths of South American sides...
The NBA Arbitrage Reality Check: What 75 Million Order-Book Snapshots Reveal About Executable Edges in Polymarket Sports Markets
By Tiger Polymarket Prediction
June 14, 2026
This week I dug into the latest empirical work on actual executable opportunities in prediction markets. The paper that stood out for its rigor and immediate operational value is “Arbitrage An...
Gaethje to Win at 19% — Veteran Edge + Fight Length Not Priced
The market overprices Ilia Topuria’s win probability against Justin Gaethge because it overweights recent KO streaks and youth while underweighting Gaethge’s veteran experience, iron chin, and proven ability to drag elite strikers into late...
Haaland Golden Boot at 9% — Path + Form Not Priced
The market underprices Erling Haaland to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot because it overweights Mbappé’s name recognition and France’s star power while underweighting Norway’s favorable group path and Haaland’s elite finishing efficiency...
Argentina World Cup Winner at 9% — Defending Champs Experience Not Priced
The market underprices Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup because it overweights current squad narratives and European favorites while underweighting the historical edge defending champions carry from experience, cohesion, and proven winni...
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A Princetonian polymarket prediction team, transfer event uncertainty to tradable probabilities Daily:short-term trade setup（sports, news, crypto, weather…) if ∃ Weekly:long-term trade setup（politics, macro, structural theme...)+auto-trade algorithm
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