Tiger Polymarket Prediction
A Princetonian polymarket prediction team, transfer event uncertainty to tradable probabilities Daily:short-term trade setup（sports, news, crypto, weather…) if ∃ Weekly:long-term trade setup（politics, macro, structural theme...)+auto-trade algorithm
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 170 | Founded | 6 months ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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tigerpolymarketprediction.substack....Latest Issues
When AI Agents Trade Together: They Aggregate Easy Signals — and Fail at Higher-Order Reasoning
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By Tiger Polymarket Prediction
August 29, 2026
This week’s most useful experimental paper on LLM trading agents is “Information Aggregation with AI Agents” (arXiv:2604.20050v3) by Spyros Galanis.
The question is simple and operational...
Anthropic Court Win Lifts Pentagon Ban – Gov Access Underpriced
The market underprices the operational and contract implications of a federal judge striking down the administration’s blacklist of Anthropic.
The Setup
A federal judge ruled that the Trump administration’s designation of Anthropic as a s...
APMM: Making Native Parlays Feasible on Prediction Markets
By Tiger Polymarket Prediction
August 22, 2026
This week’s most operationally relevant market-design paper is “APMM: Automated Parlay Market Maker” (arXiv:2607.18299, 13 July 2026) by Niusha Moshrefi, Ranvir Rana, and Pramod Viswanath.
P...
Anthropic Targets SpaceX-Scale IPO – Capital Markets Underpriced
The market underprices the signal that Anthropic is preparing an IPO large enough to rival or exceed SpaceX’s record debut.
The Setup
Anthropic is positioning for what could become one of the largest initial public offerings ever. Reports...
Gemma Hits 1B Downloads – Open-Weight Adoption Underpriced
The market underprices Google’s open-model momentum after the Gemma family crossed one billion cumulative downloads.
The Setup
Google DeepMind reported that its Gemma family of open models has passed one billion downloads. The milestone c...
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A Princetonian polymarket prediction team, transfer event uncertainty to tradable probabilities Daily:short-term trade setup（sports, news, crypto, weather…) if ∃ Weekly:long-term trade setup（politics, macro, structural theme...)+auto-trade algorithm
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