The Lovell Bull & Bear Report
Tom Lovell | Trader & WriterBlending classical technicals with asymmetric risk-reward—and a macro lens that sharpens the view.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 122 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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tasmanlovell39.substack.comLatest Issues
What If You Can't Sell the Reserve Asset?
Last week’s note, Bessent Found the Other Door, generated plenty of feedback.
What looked like an obscure piece of market plumbing has since been picked up and debated by the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal and just about every ma...
Bessent Found the Other Door
On Monday I wrote that Tokyo and Washington were trying to let the air out of the world’s largest carry trade in an orderly fashion, and that whether they could manage it remained to be seen.
What I underappreciated was the mechanism.
The...
Situational Awareness
Last week, a hedge fund called Situational Awareness blew up.
Leopold Aschenbrenner is 25, a former OpenAI researcher who had never traded professionally before launching the fund in late 2024. By June, it was up 439% net and had grown to...
They're Not Buying Ounces. They're Buying Time.
A quick market update and what I learned at the Noosa Mining Conference. 30 YR YIELDS, DXY, S&P500, GOLD, RXL
The Fed kept rates on hold, but once again the bond market got a vote—and it voted hawkish.
The Australian Breakout?
I haven’t commented much on the Australian share market lately, partly because there simply hasn’t been much to say. Most of the action for the past couple of months has been in US equities, semiconductors, Korea and Japan.
That may be abo...
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