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646 Capital

ex Citadel, JP Morgan

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues6Foundeda month agoLast Issue14 days ago
Active

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Latest Issues

$100,000 to $192,500 in Five Years, in Dollars, From an Indian Bank

Trade India Hands Out Once a Decade Is Back

Disclaimer: This article will probably only be of value to Non Resident Indians….

The Reserve Bank of India does not make this offer often. Twice in roughly twenty years is the cadence. The las...

14 days ago
4

SpaceX: The Lockup Detail No One Is Pricing

The SpaceX IPO printed Friday at $135. Float traded heavy, closed up, and the consensus take is now that demand was real and the deal was clean. Both of those things are true. Neither is the trade.

Here is what the deal actually looks like...

15 days ago
3

The Book Is Up 115%. Time to Show My Work.

The book closed June 3rd, 2026 up 115% year to date. That is a number that demands either to be shared or to be quietly buried. I have decided to share it.

The split is roughly even between two books most retail is told not to combine. The...

24 days ago
3
1

Long Apple Before Cupertino’s Coming Out Party

Apple closed Friday at $310.85. Wedbush has it at $400. Goldman at $340. Morgan Stanley at $315. Bank of America at $320. The consensus price target is essentially the current price, which is the market’s way of saying it has decided AAPL i...

a month ago
1

The Hormuz Trade: Long Oil, But Not Crude

Brent closed Friday at $105 on the screen. Diesel and jet fuel are landing in Rotterdam and Singapore closer to $200. The gap between those two numbers is the entire trade.

Satellite shot of tankers queued at Hormuz

Since Trump’s “Epic...

a month ago
2

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  • 646 Capital

    ex Citadel, JP Morgan | Markets, macro, and equity ideas from a Dubai desk. Every thesis comes with the trade | Entry, structure, and sizing.

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