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The economy is unpredictable. Your strategy doesn't have to be.

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Latest Issues

Sept. '26 FOMC: Mayday! Dot Plot down...a submission

Thank you to everyone who tuned into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app.

Get more from Tim Mahedy in the Substack app

Available for iOS and Android

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10 days ago
5

I Have a Confession to Make. I Don’t Think the Fed Will Raise Rates Today.

There are times to be bold. And there are times to exercise caution. When it comes to interest rate predictions, I’ve never found much use for the latter.

Today, at 2 pm Eastern, we’ll get the most anticipated rate decision in years, if n...

11 days ago
12

2026’s Unexpected Labor Market Recovery

One of the most honest and valuable things you can do as an economic commentator is holding yourself accountable for your predictions. For instance, I predicted that the unemployment rate would rise by about 0.3 percentage points in 2026, f...

11 days ago
11

Live stream Event: Sept. ‘26 FOMC: Mayday! Dot Plot down...a submission?

Join us for the second official Access/Macro livestream, where Guy and Tim will talk over each other as they share their views on what the September FOMC means for the distressing communication signals coming out of the FOMC.

Join Us - Eve...

16 days ago
4

Warsh at Jackson Hole: Wait, What Did He Say?

Thank you to everyone who tuned into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app.

Get more from Tim Mahedy in the Substack app

Available for iOS and Android

Get the app

a month ago
6
1

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Authors

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  • Tim Mahedy

    Former Chief of Staff at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and IMF economist. CEO & Chief Economist @Access/Macro, transforming the way banks and businesses use macroeconomic forecasting and analysis.

  • Guy Berger

    Senior Advisor on Labor Markets at Access/Macro; Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. I tweet a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! Posts & notes represent my own views.

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