Guy’s Substack
Guy BergerMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 169 | Subscribers | Read | macromostly.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (12/18)
TL;DR: The labor market is still slowly cooling (probably), but this week’s high frequency data was a mixed bag.
A Quick Post on the Sahm Rule
TL;DR: Folks should be cautious about casually applying the Sahm Rule to recession prediction; the 2020s have broken a lot of other macro rules of thumbs.
Internal Mobility: The Hope That Never Materialized
I’ve been serving as the Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild since the summer, and this is my deep dive on data from Guild and Lightcast’s recent Talent Resilience Index (TRI) report. I appreciate them sharing this data with me!
BLS Jobs Report Recap (November)
TL;DR: The November jobs report was a bad, not horrible, report; a lot like the last two, maybe a little less bad. Some of the weakness can be attributed to the federal government shutdown and will reverse next month.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Director of Economic Research at the Burning Glass Institute. I think and write a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! All comments are my own views.
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