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MacroMostly

Guy Berger

A data-driven look at US labor markets

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues235Founded3 years agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (7/23)

TL;DR: This week we had a spectacularly good but probably fluky initial claims data point. Otherwise, the data remained a mixed bag, consistent with a labor market that’s improving more slowly than a few months ago (but probably not deterio...

3 days ago
10

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (7/16)

TL;DR: We got a mix of data collectively consistent with “the job market is holding steady”. It’s a little weaker than a few months ago, but stronger than in the fall of 2025.

This post covers:

  1. Recent and Upcoming Posts

  2. What’s...

10 days ago
12

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (7/09)

TL;DR: This was a quiet week, but 3 of the 4 data releases we did get indicate the labor market was a little softer in late June and early July than it did in May.

This post covers:

  1. Recent and Upcoming Posts

  2. What’s Next

  3. P...

17 days ago
11

BLS Jobs Report Recap (June)

Happy 4th of July to all who celebrate!

TL;DR: The headline stats for today’s report looked decent, but there were some really strange details under the hood.

Key Stats:

  1. Unemployment Rate: Fell by 0.12pp to 4.18% (very good)

  2. P...

23 days ago
16
1

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (7/01)

TL;DR: Data in June was, on average, slightly softer than that in May.

This post covers:

  1. Recent and Upcoming Posts

  2. What’s Next

  3. Policy Risks Update

  4. Challenger Job Cut Announcements

  5. Claims for Unemployment Insur...

25 days ago
7

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  • Guy Berger

    Senior Advisor on Labor Markets at Access/Macro; Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. I tweet a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! Posts & notes represent my own views.

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