MacroMostly
Guy BergerA data-driven look at US labor markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 232 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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macromostly.substack.comLatest Issues
BLS Jobs Report Recap (June)
Happy 4th of July to all who celebrate!
TL;DR: The headline stats for today’s report looked decent, but there were some really strange details under the hood.
Key Stats:
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Unemployment Rate: Fell by 0.12pp to 4.18% (very good)
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P...
High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (7/01)
TL;DR: Data in June was, on average, slightly softer than that in May.
This post covers:
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Recent and Upcoming Posts
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What’s Next
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Policy Risks Update
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Challenger Job Cut Announcements
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Claims for Unemployment Insur...
BLS Jobs Report Preview (June)
Sorry this preview is so late! Hopefully it’s still useful ahead of tomorrow’s report.
TL;DR: We’ve had a run of good jobs reports, and June’s should probably continue the streak. But if I had to bet, it won’t look quite as strong as last...
JOLTS Recap (May)
TL;DR: We’re seeing a modest improvement in hiring; that improvement, coupled with a small decline in layoffs, has powered faster employment growth and a slight decline in the unemployment rate.
This post covers:
- The Big Picture
2...
JOLTS Preview (May)
TL;DR: We’ve had decent employment growth and a small decrease in the unemployment growth in early 2026, which can be attributed to slightly higher hiring and slightly lower layoffs.
More below chart.
Last month I wrote a fairly optimisti...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Senior Advisor on Labor Markets at Access/Macro; Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. I tweet a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! Posts & notes represent my own views.
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