MacroMostly
Guy BergerA data-driven look at US labor markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 225 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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macromostly.substack.comLatest Issues
High Frequency Labor Market Indicators
TL;DR: Data from the beginning of June looks like a mixed bag. Some indicators look fine (i.e. May’s strength carrying forward), but others are a little softer.
This post includes:
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Recent and Upcoming Posts
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What’s Next
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An...
BLS Jobs Report Recap (May)
TL;DR: May’s jobs report was the 3rd good one in a row, and arguably a great one. For the first time in a few years, the job market is actually getting better!
Key stats:
- Unemployment Rate: Fell by 0.04pp to 4.30% (mildly good)
2....
High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (6/04)
TL;DR: Some softness in the last week of the month, but May was generally strong in the alternate data.
This post includes:
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Recent and Upcoming Posts
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What’s Next
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An Update on Policy Risks
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Claims for Unemployment Ins...
BLS Jobs Report Preview (May)
TL;DR: Collectively the first 4 job reports of the year have indicated very mild warming in the US labor market, and May’s jobs report is likely to continue to that trend.
This post covers:
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The Big Picture
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Key Data I’ll Be Look...
Recap of JOLTS (April) and QCEW (Q4 2025)
TL;DR: This morning’s BLS data drop was a mixed bag. The JOLTS data was disappointing, with declines in hiring and quits. But the QCEW data is suggestive of something we haven’t seen in a long time: positive future revisions to employment g...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Senior Advisor on Labor Markets at Access/Macro; Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. I tweet a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! Posts & notes represent my own views.
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