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MacroMostly

Guy Berger

A data-driven look at US labor markets

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Issues244Founded3 years agoLast Issue47 hours ago
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Latest Issues

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (8/13)

TL;DR: Compared to the prior few weeks, the data looked a little softer. We’re not seeing a major weakening in the labor market but if you’re hoping the June/July soft patch has ended, this is disappointing. Risks of a small backslide are r...

47 hours ago
5

BLS Jobs Report Recap (July)

In case you prefer watching video to reading text, my friend and I did a live debrief earlier today.

TL;DR: July’s jobs report was downbeat, though not without positive aspects. The pace of improvement in US labor markets has slowed or e...

8 days ago
20
1

Jobs Day Debrief with Guy and Keds

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8 days ago
16
4

High Frequency Labor Market Indicators (8/07)

TL;DR: The last batch of alternate data before the July jobs report mostly showed an economy holding steady, or improving at a modest pace - similar to June, not as good as May. There may have been some slight strengthening toward the end o...

9 days ago
11

BLS Jobs Report Preview (July)

TL;DR: July’s job report will probably look a lot like June’s: better than what we saw in the second half of 2025, but worse than March-May. The pace of labor market improvement has probably slowed.

This post covers:

  1. The Big Picture...
10 days ago
14

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  • Guy Berger

    Senior Advisor on Labor Markets at Access/Macro; Workforce Economist in Residence at Guild; Senior Fellow at the Burning Glass Institute. I tweet a lot about labor markets, macro, and (sorry) music! Posts & notes represent my own views.

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