I translate crypto markets, data, and trends into clear actions for smarter investing.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 112 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 11 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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adriandefi.substack.comLatest Issues
Bitcoin Rallied 30%. The Bottom Still Needs Proof
Hey Friend!
Open interest fell 8.7% during a 30% rally. More on what that tells us later in this letter.
Last week I wrote that equities printed a record high, Bitcoin wasn’t affected by it, and that argued against the cycle low being beh...
Most Bottom Signals Are In. One Isn't.
Hey Friend!
The S&P 500 just printed another record high. Bitcoin did not.
That’s most of the week in two sentences. Payrolls came in negative, the inflation print was the tamest in months, the Fed narrative flipped from hikes to holds, a...
The DeFi Businesses Winning a Slow Market
Hey Friend!
Bitcoin has spent 182 days orbiting $60,000. One convincing rally, which turned into a fakeout, and the last 60 days otherwise stuck between $58,000 and $66,000.
That makes it easy to conclude nothing is happening.
The low ac...
Only Two Onchain Models Still Growing
Hey Friend!
We just watched a national stock index trade like a memecoin.
South Korea's KOSPI fell 44% in about 40 days, wiped out roughly $2 trillion, and then jumped 17% in a single session this Friday.
But volatility is not the same a...
What If Bitcoin Never Capitulates?
Hey Friend!
Oil is back above $90, Iran is still escalating, and the Strait of Hormus is effectively shut again.
A few months ago that mix would have sent every market into the deep red. This week the Dow was sent to a short rally litera...
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