AI as Normal Technology
Sayash Kapoor, Arvind NarayananAnalyzing AI as transformative but normal technology, not superintelligence.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
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normaltech.aiLatest Issues
AI agents can't yet do open-ended AI research
The goal of leading AI labs is recursive self-improvement (RSI): the automation of AI research using AI agents. RSI also underpins forecasts of explosive AI progress. How can we assess if we are close to this milestone?
One way is to use b...
What will be left for us to work on?
I had the honor of giving a keynote at the International Conference on Machine Learning in Seoul last week titled “What will be left for us to work on?” I addressed the widespread anxiety about how we should adapt as AI capabilities increas...
Up the Stack: How AI’s Escape From the Commodity Trap Risks Enterprise Lock-in
By Arvind Narayanan and Akash Kapur
Our goal in this essay is to move beyond the debate over whether AI is a bubble. We do so in two ways: clearly separating current financials from the question of who captures value in the long run, and r...
Why AI hasn’t replaced software engineers, and won’t
There is great anxiety and uncertainty about AI replacing jobs. How can we move past vague warnings and bombastic predictions and bring data to bear on this question? One good way is to look at the profession where AI capabilities are furth...
Did Google’s AI agents really build an operating system for $916?
By Stephan Rabanser, Sayash Kapoor, Rishi Bommasani, Andrew Schwartz, Arvind Narayanan
At Google’s developer conference earlier this week, the company launched its latest model, Gemini 3.5 Flash, alongside a new agent app, Antigravity 2.0....
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Co-author of AI Snake Oil and AI as Normal Technology: normaltech.ai
Co-author of AI as Normal Technology and AI Snake Oil
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