AI Policy Takes
Michelle MaComments on artificial intelligence (mostly) - AI governance, forecasting, geopolitics, & more.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 16 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 8 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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aipolicytakes.substack.comLatest Issues
Private AI Governance Has an Incentives Problem
Update: Bullish Lemon is now AI Policy Takes! I have consulted with the powers-that-be (Tim Lee, Sonnet 4.5, etc.), and I think this makes sense for the direction the blog is (has been, will be) heading. Alright, back to the post.
B...
Why the U.S. is Behind in the AI "Race"
The Flawed Race Framing
The essence of a race is that it is a single-dimensional competition. The sole win condition is being ahead on a single metric, at a single point in time, by even a single millisecond. Yet, despite constant refere...
The First Non-Opioid Painkiller for Post-Surgical Pain
This piece was originally written for the Works in Progress Newsletter — ‘Notes on Progress’ (link).
In the nineteenth century, the invention of anesthesia was considered a gift from God. But post-operative pain relief has continue...
AI Forecasting's Catch-22: The Practical Value of Flawed Models
recently posted an in-depth critique of AI 2027. I'm a fan of his work, and this post was, as expected, phenomenal*.
Much of the critique targets the unjustified weirdness of the superexponential time horizon growth curve that underpins th...
Quantifying the Long-Form Data Bottleneck
Last post, I wrote about how long-form data might be a critical bottleneck in achieving AGI, slowing progress and providing a rare opportunity for tractable governance.
That post focused on the theory. Here, I’ll attempt to estimate the a...
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