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Alina Khay

Actionable insights and strategies on Financial Markets, Quantitative Finance and Machine Learning—backed by data and research.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues145Foundeda year agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

$3.6 Trillion Is Coming to Market: SpaceX, Passive Flows and What Comes After

Three times oversubscribed, priced by decree, and bought by funds that have no choice. The most interesting thing about Friday's listing is the part nobody is modelling.

The largest IPO in history prices tonight, three times oversubscribed...

4 days ago
24
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The Calendar’s Seasonality Quiet Edge

A data-driven journey through the patterns that have persisted for over a century — and what it actually takes to exploit them without blowing up in the process.

“Sell in May and go away” first appeared in the Financial Times in 1964. As s...

9 days ago
31
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The AI Bubble Everyone Keeps Warning You About Doesn’t Look Like What You Think

And The real winners in the AI buildout

Every time the S&P 500 hits a new record, the same people come out of the woodwork: “Dot-com 2.0. It’s 1999 all over again. Get out now.”

18 days ago
56
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Forget the AI Bubble Debate. The 2026 Bull Case Is $8 Trillion Boring.

A 9.1% drawdown healed in eleven days. The same shock in 2000 took eleven hundred. Why the floor under them keeps climbing — and what that tells you about the next sell-off.

Eleven days. That is how long the S&P 500 needed to repair a 9.1%...

22 days ago
41
1
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Capturing the Systematic Edge When Volume Contradicts Price

Volume Is the Market’s Honesty Check on Price

Volume confirms price moves. That’s the first thing most traders learn, and it’s not wrong — it’s just incomplete. The more useful question isn’t whether volume is rising with price. It’s wheth...

a month ago
41
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