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Engineering Alpha

Sofien Kaabar, CFA

Sharing in-depth machine learning, quantitative, and technical market knowledge.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues1545Founded5 years agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

Time Series Foundation Models in Finance: Useful Tool or Expensive Illusion?

Why general purpose forecasting models may help financial research, but only if they survive the clean out of sample validation.

Time series foundation models are becoming harder to ignore.

3 days ago
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The Prediction Band Is More Important Than the Forecast

A single forecast gives you a number. A prediction band tells you how seriously that number should be taken.

Forecasting is usually presented as a single number.

4 days ago
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The Hidden Leakage That Creates Fake Alpha

Why many impressive backtests are not discovering market behavior, but accidentally importing future information into the past.

Machine learning research in finance often fails for reasons that have nothing to do with the model.

5 days ago
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My One Technical Indicator You Should Absolutely Use

The Yellow Indicator is built around a simple idea: momentum extremes are often more useful when they are viewed as a sequence, not as isolated readings.

Many RSI based tools focus only on whether the oscillator is above or below a fixed t...

6 days ago
5
2

Forecasting the Journey, Not Just the Destination

Presenting the ECAPR Forecasting Model

Most forecasting models try to answer one question: Where will the price be in the future?

9 days ago
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  • Sofien Kaabar, CFA

    Founder of Quant Atlas - Systematic Market Forecasts www.quant-atlas.com

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