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Alpha Algo Trading Research

Robust futures research for systematic traders: strategies tested across regimes, execution friction and portfolio reality.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues49Foundeda year agoLast Issue11 days ago
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Artwork for Alpha Algo Trading Research

Latest Issues

Your Best Backtest May Be the One You Should Trust Least

I recently revisited a 2015 paper titled The Probability of Backtest Overfitting.

The title sounds academic. Its message is brutally practical:

The more strategy variations you test, the easier it becomes to find an exceptional result wit...

11 days ago
5

From the Lab: Crude Oil Keeps Doing This. We Built a Simple Day Trading Strategy Around It

A 25 year CL model built around oil’s structural tendency to overextend and reverse, producing $114,090 across 1,363 trades with only 2.88% market exposure.

Research and education only. Results are hypothetical and based on backtests and s...

18 days ago
4
Paid

Current Members Keep Their Price

Quick update.

We will be increasing subscription prices soon.

Before anything else, we want to make this clear:

If you are already a paid subscriber, your current price stays the same.

Nothing changes for current paid members.

Your rat...

18 days ago
2

This Simple 2009 Strategy Still Wins 75% of the Time

The same rules worked on ES and 10 Year Notes. Volatility matched, the two models produced a 2.61 profit factor, negative 0.08 correlation and 23.59 Return/DD.

Simple trading ideas are easy to dismiss.

25 days ago
6
Paid

This 2009 Trading Strategy Still Wins 75% of the Time

More than half the track record came after publication. Across ES and NQ, the combined model produced a 3.00 profit factor, 16.14 Return/DD and only 0.25 weekly correlation.

Some trading ideas look great because they were built using every...

a month ago
7
Paid

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  • Alpha Algo Trading Research

    Robust futures research for systematic traders. Strategies tested across regimes, execution friction and portfolio reality.

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