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Quantitative trading research from the team behind Alphanume's proprietary datasets.

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Latest Issues

Arbitraging Options Against Prediction Markets Is Harder Than You Think

Old-school betas, cross-asset hedges, and where things get messy fast.

The journey of almost everyone who looks into arbitraging options against prediction markets tends to follow the same path:

7 days ago
6
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A Junior Quant's Guide to Trading the Power Grid

The market where Enron got caught, but the trade never really died.

Imagine you’re a power trader in California.

9 days ago
23
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Where Alphanume Research Goes Next

One of the goals of Alphanume Research has always been to avoid producing content just to produce content, as there’s already an infinite amount of market commentary online.

The objective here is to provide genuinely useful insights, work...

10 days ago
2

We Found Another Edge in Prediction Markets

There’s apparently serious money in hoping the President says “tariff” and not “tariffs.”

In our last post on prediction markets, we took a look at Polymarket and couldn’t wrap our heads around how so many accounts had equity curves that w...

14 days ago
13
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What Happens When the PDT Rule Disappears?

Front-running, short-selling, and a 2001 rule that outlived its reason.

Back in the dot-com bubble, a lot of strange things were happening.

15 days ago
12
1
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    Research, infrastructure, and quantitative market analysis for serious traders and operators.

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    The Quant's Playbook delivers sharp, actionable research for traders and quants who take markets seriously. Built for those who want an edge, not just entertainment.

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