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Accessible analysis of the big issues in AI

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Latest Issues

From Compute Overhang to Compute Crunch

In the first installment of this “state of AI” series, I reviewed the pace of change. In this installment, I’ll review the factors driving that change. Understanding the forces behind AI progress can help us understand where things will go...

6 days ago
29
9

Is AI 2027 Coming True?

A quick aside: I was recently interviewed on The Cognitive Revolution. In the first half, I discuss the suite of tools I’ve had Claude Code build to improve my personal productivity. In the second half, host Nathan Labenz and I get into a b...

18 days ago
103
24

Tacit Knowledge: The Missing Factor in AI Bio Risk Assessments

This is the second installment in a series examining the potential for AI to lower the bar to creation and use of bioweapons, written by Golden Gate Institute for AI’s Abi Olvera. Part one explains why bioweapons are difficult to create and...

a month ago
49
25

The Centaur Era

We talk about “AI capabilities” as if there are things AI can do, and things it can’t. But there’s a huge messy middle, where outcomes depend on patience, skill, and luck. ChatGPT might generate a sound analysis if prompted one way, but ref...

a month ago
39
5

To Forecast AI's Impact on Biosecurity, We Asked: Why are Attacks So Rare?

When people discuss potential risks from advanced AI, the list usually includes bioweapons. The idea is that a rogue actor, or possibly a misaligned AI, might use AI tools to help synthesize and release anything from anthrax to a civilizati...

2 months ago
38
10

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Steve Newman

    Co-founder of Writely (aka Google Docs) and 7 other startups. Now at the Golden Gate Institute for AI, working to bring AI’s toughest questions into focus.

  • Abi Olvera

    Optimistic takes on why things cost so much, why institutions make mistakes, and what AI is actually changing. Ex-diplomat. I lead DC Abundance. Golden Gate Institute Research Director. Emergent Ventures grantee. Views my own.

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