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Second Thoughts

Steve Newman, Abi Olvera, Anton Leicht, Rachel Weinberg

Accessible analysis of the big issues in AI

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Tacit Knowledge: The Missing Factor in AI Bio Risk Assessments

This is the second installment in a series examining the potential for AI to lower the bar to creation and use of bioweapons, written by Golden Gate Institute for AI’s Abi Olvera. Part one explains why bioweapons are difficult to create and...

13 days ago
37
17

The Centaur Era

We talk about “AI capabilities” as if there are things AI can do, and things it can’t. But there’s a huge messy middle, where outcomes depend on patience, skill, and luck. ChatGPT might generate a sound analysis if prompted one way, but ref...

19 days ago
35
5

To Forecast AI's Impact on Biosecurity, We Asked: Why are Attacks So Rare?

When people discuss potential risks from advanced AI, the list usually includes bioweapons. The idea is that a rogue actor, or possibly a misaligned AI, might use AI tools to help synthesize and release anything from anthrax to a civilizati...

a month ago
33
10

45 Thoughts About Agents

There’s a lot of debate as to exactly where we are in this progression

2 months ago
62
4

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Steve Newman

    Co-founder of Writely (aka Google Docs) and 7 other startups. Now at the Golden Gate Institute for AI, working to bring AI’s toughest questions into focus.

  • Abi Olvera

    Optimistic takes on why things cost so much, why institutions make mistakes, and what AI is actually changing. Ex-diplomat. I lead DC Abundance. Golden Gate Institute Research Director. Emergent Ventures grantee. Views my own.

  • Anton Leicht

    I write about the political economy of advanced AI.

  • Rachel Weinberg
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