
Unemployment and labor market expert. Former US Department of Labor, now at National Employment Law Project.
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After last night’s speech by President Trump failed to calm fears about the economic impacts of the U.S. Israel-War on the economy, it will be hard to get a clear reading of the state of the economy from March’s jobs report. Even if it is n...
Today’s claims report confirms a positive trend at the start of 2026–the velocity of layoffs in the economy has tapered downward. For the week ending March 14, there were 205,000 new claims for unemployment benefits (-8,000 from last week)....
Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics delivered a particularly gloomy jobs report with employers shedding 92,000 jobs. Even before the Iran war, this jobs data dashed hopes that the start of 2026 would deliver a clear turnaround in th...
Today I’m previewing the February Jobs Report, which will provide a view of the Pre-Iran war job market.
February 26, 2026
Today’s claims data provide another data point in uniquely challenging aspects of today’s halting jobs market. New layoffs inched up last week to 212,000, up 4,000 from last week, but still below the average over the past...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Unemployment and labor market expert. Former US Department of Labor, now at National Employment Law Project.
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