The Future of Statistical Modeling
Andrew GelmanEach week I'll link to recent posts at Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu As special bonus content, I'll also post some things here that are scheduled to appear on the blog in the future.
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statmodeling.substack.comLatest Issues
NYT columnist offers epically stupid take on 2026 midterm elections
This one’s frustrating because it appeared in the New York Times, and they could get just about anyone to offer their take on the election. We could get a conventional journalistic take, an academic take, a left-wing take, a right-wing take...
Election Day special: Why it can be rational to vote
I think I can best do my civic duty by running this one every Election Day, just like Art Buchwald on Thanksgiving. . . .
With a national election coming up, and with the publicity at its maximum, now is a good time to ask, is it rationa...
The head and the heart
Recently on the blog:
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“In the belly of the whale: Portraits from a fractured Israel”
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“If you decide to write about this paper in your blog, please don’t mention my name. It is important to me to remain anonymous. . . . exposure mi...
Wow! That notorious elderly priming paper from 1996 is worse than I’d realized!
You’ve heard of the paper. It’s the one about which Daniel Kahneman wrote:
When I describe priming studies to audiences, the reaction is often disbelief . . . The idea you should focus on, however, is that disbelief is not an option. The...
The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947
I picked this off the bookshelf the other day—I have no idea when or where I bought it—and read through it. The Orwell article I’d read before; of the rest, the most readable by far were the book reviews. Among other things was a review of...
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