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Arthur’s Substack

Arthur Berman

My personal Substack

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Issues129Founded3 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

Wars Are The Storm Systems of History

War is like a massive storm. You know it’s coming, but not when, where, or how hard it will hit. At first it appears chaotic. Then patterns emerge and a rough, uneasy order begins to take shape.

The war with Iran is a good example. Nearly...

5 days ago
9
1

The Price Isn’t Right

As physical markets flash extreme tightness, many analysts now warn that oil futures curves no longer reflect physical reality. They argue that $100 oil dramatically understates true scarcity, masking structural shortages, geopolitical frag...

15 days ago
28

America Has Plenty of Oil

The U.S. is not energy independent—and cannot be—because oil quality matters. The U.S. has plenty of oil. A lot of it’s just not the right kind.

The U.S. now produces more oil than Saudi Arabia and Russia combined, and as much natural gas...

a month ago
22

Game of Drones

The U.S. war with Iran may be the last gasp of an old world order fighting with weapons that no longer decide outcomes. Societies evolve like species, only faster, and military breakthroughs disrupt and force them to reorganize.

The master...

a month ago
16

The Right Side of Chaos

It’s hard to separate signal from noise in assessing the Iran war and what it means going forward. War is always confusing, but there’s a growing sense that this one is different—more consequential than most conflicts of recent decades. At...

2 months ago
16

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  • Arthur Berman

    Energy consultant and petroleum geologist

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