Arya’s Substack
AryaMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 224 | Subscribers | Read | aryadeniz.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
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Deep Dive: Private Credit
Private credit is best understood as the cleanest expression of post-crisis financial repression meeting post-crisis bank constraints: a long period of ultra-low policy rates compressed the entire public fixed-income stack, while tougher ba...
Oil Does Not Wait for Equilibrium
Oil has a way of exposing how little equilibrium really matters once fear gets a bid, because what begins as a physical disruption quickly becomes a psychological one, then a policy one, then a financial one, and by the time people start ta...
The Peace Dividend
Morning. What the tape is showing you right now looks like disorder settling into a new equilibrium, with Russia grinding through Ukraine, Israel and Iran pushing into direct on-the-ground confrontation with the United States pulled into th...
Central Banks are Fighting 2022 While Living Through 2007
There is a particular kind of policy mistake that only shows up late in cycles, when the data still looks manageable but the underlying system has already begun to shift. It is not a failure of intelligence or access to information. I belie...
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