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Asymmetric Opportunities

Investment research. I like companies with dominant positions in niche markets serving critical inputs into massive markets

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues9Founded10 months agoLast Issue2 months ago
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Latest Issues

6466 TVE Co Ltd

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

TVE Corporation is the only qualified supplier of safety valves to Japan's pressurized water reactor fleet, a position no domestic or foreign competitor has breached in over two decades. Japan's nuclear policy has structu...

2 months ago
5
5

Japan Nuclear - Okano Valve 6492

Japan’s nuclear component suppliers sit in a structural blind spot. Companies like Okano Valve, TVE, and Nippon Gear are micro/small-cap industrials with no sell-side coverage. Material fundamental developments, 77% orderbook surges, book-t...

3 months ago
20
7

Seikoh Giken 6834 Update

Q3 Results Crushed It. Guidance Blew Through My Bull Case.

The supply bottleneck is gone. The earnings inflection is here.

In October I published my initial thesis on Seikoh Giken, arguing that consensus implicitly priced in a sharp d...

6 months ago
16
8

Nittobo (3110) - we are early

And soon, you will need to pay

Hello friends long time no see. I’ll give an explanation for my recent silence on Substack in the fullness of time, but I’m in Tokyo now and Nittobo is reporting tomorrow.

DISCLAIMER: Funds and individua...

6 months ago
8
9

The AI Bubble Debate Is Missing Half the Equation

The axis of debate around the “AI Bubble” issue is almost always revolving around supply: Nvidia GPUs, TSMC fabs, Zuckerberg revealing $600 billion in capex for 2026-2028, Oracle and OpenAI signing mega deals.

But very few people are track...

10 months ago
21
16

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  • Asymmetric Opportunities

    Investment research. I like companies with dominant positions in niche products which are critical inputs into massive markets that are growing quickly

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