Bad Bets
Bad Bets, GoChiefBad Bets is where we give our favorite bets of the day through our 3 Pack Series. Follow for daily publications and articles. Also feel free to follow us on Twitter @badbets313
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 167 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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badbets.substack.comLatest Issues
⚾ The Second-Half Board — Where the Projection and the Money Disagree
⚡ The 30-Second Read
ESPN dropped its second-half preview this morning — all 30 teams, tiered, with Bradford Doolittle’s championship odds off 10,000 Monte Carlo sims of the remaining schedule.
We’re not going to re-rank their tiers fo...
🏀 Marked to Market — 2026 NBA Draft Winners & Losers, Repriced by Vegas
⚡ The 30-Second Read
Draft night is a market. You already know the framework — slot value is the price, the consensus board is the de-vigged line, and the edge is the gap between where a guy was ranked and where he actually went.
Here’...
⚾ The Board That Broke — Winners & Losers of the 2026 MLB Draft
⚡ The 30-Second Read
Here’s the thing nobody says out loud about the draft: it’s a market. Slot value is the price. The consensus board is the de-vigged line. And every single pick is a team either agreeing with that line or flipping of...
⚾ MLB Bad Bets — Sunday, July 12
⚡ The 30-Second Read
Saturday was the worst day of the run — a 7-9 loss across a 16-game slate (MIL@PIT got made up as a doubleheader) — and it was a flip-bucket bloodbath. The FLIPs went 2-6. Worse, the three flip LOCKs that headlined...
⚾ MLB Bad Bets — Saturday, July 11
⚡ The 30-Second Read
Friday was a 7-7 wash (MIL@PIT postponed, ungraded), and it was the mirror image of Wednesday. Two days ago the flips leaked and the AGREE book held. Yesterday the flips redeemed at 3-1 — the big ones (≥4%) went a c...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Just a kid from Detroit who has a bunch of random hobbies.
Da Biggest
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