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Balder's Substack

Balder
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Latest Issues

选举落地道指涨 3%,AI 机房链跌 8%–13%:市场在卖离现金最远的那一段|11月4日复盘

民主党横扫参众两院,标普收 7,688.62,落在早盘区间之内;道指涨 3.03%,纳指 100 只涨 0.91%。资金流向消费和云平台,维谛、Credo、Lumentum 这条机房建设链集体挨刀。盘后 AppLovin +23%、高通 −7.7%,方向都和我们的雷达卡相反;期货基本持平,机房链盘后继续走弱。

📺 今天的视频版:图表 + 讲解,嵌在下面(YouTube)。

3 days ago
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11.04|民主党横扫两院,道指涨 3%、AI 机房链却跌 13%:市场到底在卖哪一段?

每个美股交易日收盘后 5 分钟。今天这一集:

  • 今日核心:选举结果落地,民主党横扫参众两院。道指 +3.03%,标普 500 +1.58%,纳指 100 +0.91%;消费与云平台领涨,AI 机房建设链集体挨刀(Vertiv −12.89%,Credo −9.55%,Lumentum −7.85%)。

  • 知识点:收入在哪一刻算数——电源、光模块、整机要等机柜通电、客户验收才确认收入,离现金最远,最先被重新定价。

  • 会员复盘:标普今日区间 7,661–7...

3 days ago
2

AI 链一天被买回、零售集体跌 2%,Aehr +26.5%:来回的轮动,方向看 AMD|11月3日复盘

标普收 7,568.92,贴着早盘锚点落在区间之内;纳指 100 涨 0.68%,道指跌 0.38%。昨天被卖的算力、电力、光通信被买回,昨天接盘的零售集体走弱。盘后 AMD、Arista、Super Micro 都交出超预期的财报。

📺 今天的视频版:图表 + 讲解,嵌在下面(YouTube)。

4 days ago
1
Paid

11.03|AI 链一天被买回、零售集体跌 2%:Aehr +26.5%,AMD 盘后 +5%

Balder 美股复盘 · 每天 5 分钟。11月3日这一期:

  • 今日核心:昨天被卖的 AI 链今天被买回——半导体 SOXX +2.50%,Aehr +26.50%,IREN +11.08%,甲骨文 +5.85%;昨天接盘的消费零售集体跌 2% 左右(家得宝 −2.20%,沃尔玛 −2.22%)。纳指 100 +0.68%,道指 −0.38%,标普 500 +0.36%;107 只观察股 71 涨 36 跌。

  • 知识点:市场宽度——指数按市值加权,上涨家数才...

4 days ago
1

11.02|Marvell 收购 Lumentum,两家一起跌 13% 和 19%:AI 的问题变成了钱从哪里来

Balder 美股复盘 · 每天 5 分钟。11 月 2 日这一期讲了:

  • 今日核心:Marvell 宣布以 1 股 Lumentum 换 4.5 股 Marvell 全股票收购(SEC 公告,预计 2028 年上半年完成)。结果 Marvell 跌 12.72%,Lumentum 跌 18.59%。道指 +0.41%,标普 500 −0.51%,纳指 100 −1.39%;107 只观察股 34 涨 73 跌。资金去了消费与支付:劳氏 +4.34%,家得宝 +3.6...
5 days ago
1

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  • Balder

    Quant & AI Trader | Turned $100k into $1M+ in 5 days | AI/ML Industry Expert | The real Balder on X: @Balder13946731 | Subscribe to get access to my AI tool: Balder-AI.com

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