Daily market briefing before the US open, and the trades as they happen. Systematic, since 2016. Not financial advice. Educational and research purposes only.
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Democrats Sweep and Wall Street Rotates: Banks, Health Care and Gold Up, Data Centres and Defence Down: /ES 7,670, VIX 18.3, Gold 4,045
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 13:45 CET. A clean call takes the VIX down 12%, the dollar and yields fall, gold clears 3,950 and money rotates out of the AI leaders into banks, health care and the miners.
Today's Market Commentary
Apple Falls 4% on Memory Costs as America Votes and Chips Bounce: /ES 7,576, VIX 21.3, Gold 3,908
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 11:15 CET. Polls open with the Democrats priced at 77% for Congress, Apple −4.4% on memory costs, chips bid in New York, WTI 97 after US strikes on Qeshm.
Today's Market Commentary
Oil Drops 4% on Iran Talks as the AI Names Steady Into the Midterms: /ES 7,646, VIX 19.2, Gold 3,903
Monday 2 November 2026, 13:10 CET. WTI under 100 and Brent 108.6 on a draft proposal in Doha, semis bid after Friday's rout, Marvell buys Lumentum for $115bn, the ten-year at 4.93%, midterms Tuesday.
Today's Market Commentary
Amazon and Intel Sink the Nasdaq as the Rotation Buys Health Care, Energy and Bonds: /ES 7,669, VIX 18.7, Gold 3,967
Friday 30 October 2026, 13:40 CET. Amazon −7% and Intel −25% on the AI capex bill, semis −5% to −10%, the 10 year at 4.93%, WTI 104 as a tanker burns at Hormuz.
Today's Market Commentary
Alphabet Pays the AI Bill as Microsoft Gets Paid and the Fed Holds 10 to 2: /ES 7,757, VIX 17.1, Gold 4,029
Thursday 29 October 2026, 12:45 CET. Alphabet −10% and Microsoft +3.6% on the same capex, two hike dissents at the Fed, the 10 year at 5.03%, WTI 101. GDP, PCE and the ECB at lunchtime.
Today's Market Commentary
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Daily market briefing before the US open, and the trades as they happen. Systematic, since 2016.
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