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BasedMoney

Based Money
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Markets, macro, socionomics and charts galore. Hunting for based tops and bottoms that generate outsized profits.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues2806Founded4 years agoLast Issue30 hours ago
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Latest Issues

Strong Dollar, Rates Rising, NetZero Strategy?

Market cycles can take precedence over macroeconomics, but one cannot discount the latter overwhelming the cycle. Or the cycle ending because a new order emerges.

There was a roughly 18-year dollar cycle that ended in 2020. It consisted of...

30 hours ago
2

Rate Breakout

Here’s a chart of SPX/GDP.

If you believe stocks might get a little cheaper, but not much, sort of like that 1960s chop, then the market will return something like 4 percent annualized, inclusive of dividends.

The 10-year yield is blast...

2 days ago
3

Royalty Knockout Finals

There can be only one

BasedMoney is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

3 days ago
1
Paid

Market Fattening Up Again

Up first, then...

One of my favorite anecdotes from the Weimar era, one that is applicable in all eras, is that people believed there was a major economic boom underway when it started. They didn’t realize they were experiencing hyperinfla...

4 days ago
3
Paid

XLC Vibes

Update: Nope!

Both Google (GOOGL) and Meta (META) are in XLC, are roughly similar weights and combing for 40 percent of assets.

We deal mostly in possibilities here, not predictions. A surface level view alone tells me if for any reason o...

7 days ago
3

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