Bayes Shammai
Ricki HeicklenCantankerous takes on markets, incentives, and human dynamics.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Infrequently |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 10 | Subscribers | Read | bayesshammai.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
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Toward a Broader Conception of Adverse Selection
“I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member” -Marx1
Contra Ngo et al. “Every ‘Every Bay Area House Party’ Bay Area House Party”
With thanks to Scott Alexander for the inspiration, Jeffrey Ladish, Philip Parker, Avital Morris, and Drake Thomas for masterful cohosting, and Richard Ngo for his investigative journalism.
What to expect when you're expecting expected value
Going Infinite, Michael Lewis’s new blockbuster about Sam Bankman-Fried and the collapse of his crypto exchange FTX, is heavy on funny anecdotes and implicit psychoanalysis and lighter on technical details.
Stanislav Petrov Quarterly Performance Review
September 26 is the anniversary of the 1983 Soviet nuclear false alarm incident—item #16 on Wikipedia’s upsettingly long “List of Nuclear Close Calls”—in which Lieutenant Colonel Stanislav Petrov did an excellent job at not starting World W...
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