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Bayes Shammai

Ricki Heicklen

Cantankerous takes on markets, incentives, and human dynamics.

PricingOnly free issuesPublishesInfrequently

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Toward a Broader Conception of Adverse Selection

“I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member” -Marx1

2 months ago

Contra Ngo et al. “Every ‘Every Bay Area House Party’ Bay Area House Party”

With thanks to Scott Alexander for the inspiration, Jeffrey Ladish, Philip Parker, Avital Morris, and Drake Thomas for masterful cohosting, and Richard Ngo for his investigative journalism.

3 months ago

What to expect when you're expecting expected value

This post is a supplement to Michael Lewis’s Blind Side, an essay of mine in Asterisk Magazine’s “Mistakes” issue.

5 months ago

Stanislav Petrov Quarterly Performance Review

September 26 is the anniversary of the 1983 Soviet nuclear false alarm incident—item #16 on Wikipedia’s upsettingly long “List of Nuclear Close Calls”—in which Lieutenant Colonel Stanislav Petrov did an excellent job at not starting World W...

8 months ago

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  • Ricki Heicklen

    prisoner’s dilemma abolitionist

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