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Beyond Passive Investing

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Latest Issues

150 Years of Global Stock Returns - The Birthplace Lottery

Every investor who holds only their home market has made the same decision. Over the last century and a half that decision paid an Australian seven percent a year in real terms and a Portuguese investor less than one. Nobody chose which of...

9 days ago
23
4

Part (3/3) - Refiner Trade: A Second Signal and the Case for Trading Less

The first part described the idea and put a gross Sharpe of about one and a half on it. The second part set it in front of a broker’s fees and an integer number of shares, and watched most of the edge go to the cost of trading. This part ad...

23 days ago
10

Part (2/3) — Refiner Trade: From Gross Sharpe to Net

The first part described the idea and put a gross Sharpe of about one and a half on it. Gross is the easy figure to produce and the least interesting one to quote, because it assumes you can trade for free. Here I put the strategy in front...

a month ago
12
2

Part (1/3) — A Cross-Asset Lead-Lag Trade in US Refiners

You can watch a refiner's gross margin move in real time: it trades in the futures market, tick by tick, as the crack spread — and the stocks that earn it are reliably slow to follow. That lag is small, but it is honest, market-neutral, and...

a month ago
20

Trend Following (4/4): The Poor Man’s Trend Program

The first three parts of this series built a trend-following program and took it apart: sixty-two futures markets replicated, distilled to one contract per sector, then measured for what trend actually adds to a risk-premia core. All of it...

2 months ago
17
3

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  • Beyond Passive Investing

    Physics PhD. In the markets since '96. Writing about systematic investing, risk, and the math that connects portfolios to real life.

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