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Charting Horse Value

Jeff Bessa
Tens of paid subscribers

Data-driven horse-racing handicapping, model insights, and practical wagering analysis from Charting Horse Value.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues24Founded4 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

Three New CHV Betting Signals—and the Evidence Behind Them

Charting Horse Value is built to connect a horse’s chance of winning with the price available to bet. Three new signals help us spot horses worth a closer look: v on a letter grade, kt in Form Cycle, and tw in Form Cycle.

We tested each si...

5 days ago
3
6

First Lady Stakes: Let the Pace Decide

The First Lady Stakes has 11 runners, but the central question is much simpler: which horses are most likely to survive a hot early pace?

CHV projects a Pace 10, the highest rating on the scale. Several major contenders rely on early speed...

10 days ago
2
2

Three Winning Signals—and What to Repeat

Success stories matter most when they teach us what to repeat.

September 30 produced three different examples of the Charting Horse Value process working as intended: estimate probability before the race, add the relevant handicapping cont...

11 days ago
2

Find the Anchor First: Turning One Strong Race Into a Smarter Daily Double

The most useful handicapping question is not always, “Who is going to win?”

Sometimes it is, “Which race should I study first?”

Charting Horse Value is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider bec...

21 days ago
3

Stop Playing Every Daily Double

The Daily Double looks simple. Pick the winner of one race, pick the winner of the next, and connect them. But simplicity of structure does not mean simplicity of decision.

The first question should not be, “Which two horses do I like?” It...

a month ago
8

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  • Jeff Bessa

    Founder CHV

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