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Charting Horse Value

Jeff Bessa
Tens of paid subscribers

Data-driven horse-racing handicapping, model insights, and practical wagering analysis from Charting Horse Value.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues27Founded4 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Breeders’ Cup Saturday Doubles and Pick 3s: The Cost of Coverage

This is the second story in our Breeders’ Cup Saturday series. The first looked at win bets. Here we move from picking one horse to the question that makes serial wagers difficult: which extra horses earn their place on the ticket?

Chartin...

7 days ago
2

Breeders’ Cup Saturday Win Bets: What 45 Races Taught Us About Price

Breeders’ Cup Saturday invites a familiar mistake: find the most likely winner, then forget to ask whether the odds pay enough. We studied 45 Saturday races across 2021–25, placing a hypothetical flat $2 win bet on one selection per race. T...

9 days ago
2
3

Six Winners at Woodbine. The Real Lesson Was Price.

Sunday was a strong day for Charting Horse Value at Woodbine. Six of ten Thoroughbred Bottom Line win selections won. One flat $2 win bet on each selection would have cost $20 and returned $57.50: +187.5% ROI. Across all tracks that day, th...

17 days ago
4
3

Three New CHV Betting Signals—and the Evidence Behind Them

Charting Horse Value is built to connect a horse’s chance of winning with the price available to bet. Three new signals help us spot horses worth a closer look: v on a letter grade, kt in Form Cycle, and tw in Form Cycle.

We tested each si...

22 days ago
4
8

First Lady Stakes: Let the Pace Decide

The First Lady Stakes has 11 runners, but the central question is much simpler: which horses are most likely to survive a hot early pace?

CHV projects a Pace 10, the highest rating on the scale. Several major contenders rely on early speed...

a month ago
2
2

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  • Jeff Bessa

    Founder CHV

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