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Cheap Convexity

Jon Turek

Global Macro

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues139Founded6 years agoLast Issue20 days ago
Active

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Latest Issues

Compute Trading

Many have called compute the new oil. As oil and fossil fuels powered the industrial revolution, compute is powering the AI one. Like oil prices though, compute is volatile and has become a material variable cost in the AI ecosystem. Right...

20 days ago
16

Prediction Markets and Hedging

A big topic spoken about the potential utility of prediction markets is in terms of using these markets as a hedge. The use cases go from an institutional trader looking to hedge their interest rate position over a payrolls report, to a sma...

a month ago
13

April Bank of Japan

One of the more interesting central bank meetings of April is going to be the Bank of Japan at the end of the month. Typically, the BoJ is not a hiker during periods of financial market volatility, as we saw in August 2024 when the BoJ retr...

2 months ago
14

Prediction Markets and Implied Correlation

One of the many interesting opportunities that exist on prediction markets right now is within the space of implied correlation. This is a concept that is very familiar to the trading community, as we have things such as relative value trad...

2 months ago
29

Cheap Convexity 2.0

I am excited to announce that the Cheap Convexity blog is coming back.

The blog is coming back to do something new. The blog will now bring my macro approach to the world of prediction markets. Going forward, Cheap Convexity will be postin...

3 months ago
25

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