Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin
Peter Turchin, Jakob Zsambok, Jenny Reddish, Samantha Holder, Daniel KondorAncient history and today's politics through the lens of Cliodynamics ("history as science"). Recent books: End Times (2023), The Great Holocene Transformation (2025).
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 101 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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peterturchin.substack.comLatest Issues
AC for Me, Not for Thee
The weather forecast for my area predicts 38 degrees C (over 100 Fahrenheit) on Thursday. I really hope that we will not have any power interruptions, as surviving without air-conditioning (AC) at such temperature (and fairly high humidity,...
India's Youth Bulge
Demographic Dynamics of India Compared to China
The structural-demographic (SD) theory pays a lot of attention to demographic dynamics (as is implied by the theory’s name). While the youth bulge is not one of the primary drivers for instab...
Does China Covet Siberia?
There were a lot of good questions for me at the business and investment conference in Boston last week. One such question arose in the context of our discussion of the shifting geopolitical landscape, with China, Russia, and Iran gaining m...
The Future Has Arrived
Last week I participated in a meeting of businessmen and investors in Boston. Most of the time, our discussions focused on how various insights from Cliodynamics could help them understand the world we are now living in. But this post is on...
The Structural-Demographic State of America VI
The Newest Data on Well-Being/Immiseration
Last year, I reviewed the data on well-being proxies as part of my series on the American structural-demographic variables. The goal of updating time-series data to 2025 was to see whether there w...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Peter Turchin is Project Leader at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna. His books include End Times (2023), Ultrasociety (2015), and The Great Holocene Transformation (2025).
Staff Scientist in Social Complexity and Collapse at the Complexity Science Hub, Vienna, and Seshat: Global History Databank.
Exploring herbal lore, the anthropology of scent, the places I visit and the things I read. Based in Leopoldstadt, Vienna.
Samantha is the Lead Historical Research for Seshat: Global History Databank and has been working with Peter and the team since 2019.
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