Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin
Peter Turchin, Jakob Zsambok, Jenny Reddish, Samantha Holder, Daniel KondorAncient history and today's politics through the lens of Cliodynamics ("history as science"). Recent books: End Times (2023), The Great Holocene Transformation (2025).
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 107 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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peterturchin.substack.comLatest Issues
Why Is College So Expensive?
Two hundred years of Yale tuition data tell a remarkable story
In the last two issues of Global Macro Update, Ed d’Agostino has been exploring the question of why the cost of higher education has outpaced the rate of inflation — by a lot (...
“Our Honest Truth”—“Their Lying Propaganda”
Somebody asked me recently, why do I devote so much space on this Substack to the War in Ukraine?
My overall goal in this blog is to understand the world, in which we live, through the lens of Cliodynamics. At the global level, the most m...
War in Ukraine XI
After publishing preliminary results of my analysis of the Mediazona data, I sent an email to the Mediazona team, asking to comment on it. I received a very helpful response from Dima Treshchanin, which I summarize below.
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H...
War in Ukraine X
In the previous post in this series, Is Ukraine-Russia War Entering the End Game?, my conclusion was that Ukraine was on track to losing the war, as predicted by the attritional model that I had developed for this conflict, but with a quali...
The Structural-Demographic State of Japan III
Well-being/Immiseration Trends
This is the third post in this series. Part I, Part II.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Peter Turchin is Project Leader at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna. His books include End Times (2023), Ultrasociety (2015), and The Great Holocene Transformation (2025).
Staff Scientist in Social Complexity and Collapse at the Complexity Science Hub, Vienna, and Seshat: Global History Databank.
Exploring herbal lore, the anthropology of scent, the places I visit and the things I read. Based in Leopoldstadt, Vienna.
Samantha is the Lead Historical Research for Seshat: Global History Databank and has been working with Peter and the team since 2019.
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