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Coffee in the Desert

Jesse Marks

Dispatches from the intersection of the Middle East, China, and international order

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues208Founded4 years agoLast Issue14 days ago
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Latest Issues

Do AI models trust the moral leadership of their makers? I asked each model.

Do you trust the AI models? Do you trust the engineers who built them? Do you trust the CEOs who run the companies? And do you trust a world in which AI labs and tech firms can outweigh the institutions meant to hold them accountable?

This...

14 days ago

Chokepoints Cut Both Ways

I read Michael Beckley’s Foreign Affairs essay, “The Middle Power Delusion,” with great interest. His core argument is bracing: middle powers may believe they are gaining agency in a multipolar world, but the deeper structure of internation...

21 days ago
2

The Gulf's Missing Seat at the Negotiating Table

This is my first long-form piece in some time. I encourage you to read it in full, as it covers a wide breadth of the history of the Iran deal (and how the Gulf were excluded), how that shaped the trajectory of the region, why it is happeni...

23 days ago
2
1

Iran's war-time mediator set to lead ties with Beijing

The recent announcement in Iranian media sets an important post-summit move by Iran to deepen ties with Beijing and create a larger role for China in the regional peace talks.

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Iran has appointed Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, th...

a month ago
3

The Beijing Summit Delivered Atmosphere, Not an Off-Ramp on Iran

Sharing my initial thoughts on how the summit so far has addressed the question of Iran. There are a number of other related topics on the bilateral side, like trade and AI. This overview does not look at those.

What Trump and Xi did — and...

a month ago
4

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  • Jesse Marks

    CEO of Rihla Research & Advisory LLC & PhD Student at Australia National University studying US-China AI competition in GCC. Writing on China-Middle East geopolitics, geoeconomic, conflict, and technology.

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