Conflict
Stephen RoachCan the US and China avoid accidental conflict?
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 180 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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stephenroach.substack.comLatest Issues
Summertime ...
Apologies for my sporadic posts in recent weeks. The combination of an intense book writing schedule, some personal commitments, and America’s 250th birthday holiday has taken a toll on my regular weekly dispatches. I should be back in your...
China's Failed Rebalancing
When China’s leaders first acknowledged the need to rebalance the economy nearly two decades ago, it seemed like a matter of when, not if. But with the household consumption share of Chinese GDP remaining stubbornly low, officials’ promises...
The Unbalancing of Chinese Rebalancing
Chinese rebalancing has been an abject failure. Nearly twenty years after former Premier Wen Jiabao bemoaned the unbalanced fate the Chinese economy, the problem has gone from bad to worse. For a growth-dependent Chinese economy, failed con...
The USTR Strikes Again
The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) has borrowed a page from the losing trade war of 2018-19. Under orders from the President, it has issued a lengthy Section 301 investigation report that purports to provide a legal...
Trump's Red Line Inflation Problem
Recently, I was critical of Chinese President Xi Jinping for a flaw in his foreign policy stance. I argued that he was guilty of “red line inflation” — framing multiple non-negotiable positions that conflate Chinese determination with the c...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Yale faculty, former Chief Economist and Asia Chair Morgan Stanley, author most recently of "Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives". Follow me on Substack and Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/ssruschina.bsky.social
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